Game · 2021-22 Semifinal Series
3/31 Game 2
Shingo Hori finished 1st (+72.2pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Shingo Hori ron 12,000 from Sayaka Kayamori, which moved Shingo Hori's expected points by +33.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 27% | 25% | 24% | -11.3 | -6.1 | -5.6 | +23.1 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 17% | 22% | 20% | 41% | -2.2 | +8.0 | -2.6 | -3.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 1,500 | 16% | 26% | 19% | 39% | -3.1 | +4.1 | -0.3 | -0.6 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 1,100 | 15% | 29% | 19% | 38% | -3.7 | -6.4 | -1.1 | +11.1 |
| East 3 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 1,100 | 13% | 22% | 18% | 48% | -1.4 | +4.5 | -5.3 | +2.2 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 11% | 25% | 13% | 52% | -2.6 | +5.2 | +3.7 | -6.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Shingo Hori ron 3,200 from Sayaka Kayamori | 11% | 30% | 16% | 43% | -15.4 | -3.9 | +14.3 | +5.1 |
| South 2 | Shingo Hori tsumo 4,000 | 3% | 24% | 22% | 51% | -3.8 | -8.8 | +13.7 | -1.0 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 16% | 31% | 50% | +1.5 | -4.3 | +8.4 | -5.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Shingo Hori ron 12,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 3% | 14% | 42% | 41% | -18.0 | -4.8 | +33.4 | -10.6 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Shingo Hori ron 2,900 from Sayaka Kayamori | 0% | 2% | 83% | 15% | -3.8 | -1.3 | +7.5 | -2.4 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 1% | 89% | 9% | -0.8 | +1.9 | -1.4 | +0.3 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Shingo Hori ron 1,300 from Takaharu Ooi | 0% | 1% | 91% | 9% | -0.1 | -3.9 | +7.7 | -3.7 |