Game · 2021-22 Semifinals
4/1 Game 1
Kondo Seiichi finished 1st (+65.4pt). The game was decided in South 3: Kondo Seiichi tsumo 7,800, which moved Kondo Seiichi's expected points by +36.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -11.9 | -8.8 | -3.9 | +24.7 |
| East 2 | Asakura Koshin ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 16% | 19% | 20% | 44% | +21.7 | -1.1 | +0.5 | -21.2 |
| East 3 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 5,200 | 32% | 18% | 22% | 28% | -2.7 | -6.2 | -9.9 | +18.7 |
| East 4 | Asakura Koshin ron 2,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 29% | 13% | 14% | 43% | +6.9 | +0.1 | -0.6 | -6.4 |
| South 1 | Katsumata Kenji ron 5,200 from Asakura Koshin | 36% | 14% | 14% | 37% | -17.5 | +15.5 | -1.3 | +3.4 |
| South 2 | Kondo Seiichi ron 3,900 from Takizawa Kazunori | 21% | 24% | 14% | 41% | +1.6 | -1.5 | +12.0 | -12.1 |
| South 3 | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 7,800 | 25% | 21% | 23% | 31% | -13.0 | -12.6 | +36.7 | -11.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 12,000 | 12% | 11% | 56% | 21% | -9.4 | -9.7 | +30.3 | -11.2 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 1% | 1% | 93% | 5% | +0.2 | +28.6 | +0.2 | -29.0 |
| South 4 | Kondo Seiichi ron 1,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 0% | 2% | 96% | 2% | +1.0 | +2.7 | +3.3 | -7.0 |