Game · 2021-22 Semifinal Series
4/1 Game 1
Seiichi Kondo finished 1st (+65.4pt). The game was decided in South 3: Seiichi Kondo tsumo 7,800, which moved Seiichi Kondo's expected points by +35.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 22% | 26% | 26% | -11.9 | -5.4 | -7.3 | +24.7 |
| East 2 | Koshin Asakura ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 16% | 18% | 21% | 45% | +22.1 | -2.6 | +1.1 | -20.6 |
| East 3 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 5,200 | 33% | 17% | 21% | 29% | -2.2 | -5.0 | -11.2 | +18.4 |
| East 4 | Koshin Asakura ron 2,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 30% | 14% | 13% | 43% | +7.3 | +0.3 | +0.2 | -7.7 |
| South 1 | Kenji Katsumata ron 5,200 from Koshin Asakura | 36% | 14% | 14% | 36% | -19.3 | +14.5 | -0.4 | +5.2 |
| South 2 | Seiichi Kondo ron 3,900 from Kazunori Takizawa | 20% | 23% | 14% | 43% | +3.6 | -2.1 | +11.7 | -13.2 |
| South 3 | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 7,800 | 26% | 20% | 23% | 31% | -11.8 | -12.5 | +35.9 | -11.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 12,000 | 14% | 11% | 54% | 20% | -11.3 | -8.4 | +30.4 | -10.7 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 1% | 1% | 92% | 6% | -0.6 | +28.2 | +0.9 | -28.5 |
| South 4 | Seiichi Kondo ron 1,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 0% | 2% | 96% | 2% | +1.4 | +2.5 | +3.3 | -7.2 |