Game · 2021-22 Semifinal Series
4/1 Game 2
Go Kobayashi finished 1st (+55.9pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Go Kobayashi tsumo 18,000, which moved Go Kobayashi's expected points by +47.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Go Kobayashi ron 3,900 from Hisato Sasaki | 24% | 24% | 25% | 27% | -11.2 | +10.7 | -0.4 | +1.0 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 16% | 33% | 25% | 27% | +3.7 | +1.3 | -0.9 | -4.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 18,000 | 19% | 34% | 24% | 24% | -16.7 | +47.9 | -15.2 | -16.1 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000 | 6% | 77% | 9% | 8% | +30.6 | -11.2 | -10.9 | -8.5 |
| East 3 | Go Kobayashi ron 3,900 from Hisato Sasaki | 18% | 67% | 6% | 9% | -7.3 | +10.2 | -2.1 | -0.8 |
| East 4 | Seiichi Kondo ron 7,700 from Aki Nikaido | 11% | 79% | 4% | 6% | 0.0 | -1.3 | -16.9 | +18.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 3,900 from Aki Nikaido | 12% | 76% | 2% | 10% | +8.8 | +2.5 | -7.1 | -4.3 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 13% | 80% | 1% | 6% | +4.5 | -2.9 | +0.1 | -1.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido tsumo 5,200 | 16% | 77% | 1% | 6% | -9.0 | +2.0 | +9.3 | -2.2 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 8% | 84% | 2% | 5% | -1.0 | +2.8 | -2.4 | +0.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 7% | 87% | 2% | 4% | -1.9 | -0.9 | +3.7 | -0.9 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Aki Nikaido tsumo 18,000 | 4% | 89% | 2% | 5% | -20.6 | -11.5 | +52.5 | -20.4 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 8,000 | 3% | 77% | 17% | 4% | -13.0 | +2.8 | -12.7 | +22.9 |
| South 4 | Seiichi Kondo ron 5,800 from Hisato Sasaki | 1% | 88% | 3% | 8% | -12.0 | -2.1 | -4.7 | +18.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 84% | 3% | 13% | -4.4 | +5.6 | +20.6 | -21.7 |