Game · 2021-22 Semifinals
4/1 Game 2
Kobayashi Go finished 1st (+55.9pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Kobayashi Go tsumo 18,000, which moved Kobayashi Go's expected points by +47.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kobayashi Go ron 3,900 from Sasaki Hisato | 25% | 26% | 25% | 24% | -12.4 | +11.7 | -1.1 | +1.9 |
| East 2 | Draw | 15% | 35% | 25% | 26% | +3.3 | +0.1 | -1.6 | -1.9 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 18,000 | 18% | 35% | 23% | 25% | -16.5 | +47.1 | -15.9 | -14.7 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000 | 4% | 77% | 9% | 9% | +33.2 | -12.3 | -8.4 | -12.5 |
| East 3 | Kobayashi Go ron 3,900 from Sasaki Hisato | 20% | 66% | 7% | 8% | -9.5 | +11.2 | -1.7 | 0.0 |
| East 4 | Kondo Seiichi ron 7,700 from Nikaido Aki | 12% | 79% | 4% | 5% | -0.8 | -1.4 | -16.1 | +18.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 3,900 from Nikaido Aki | 11% | 76% | 2% | 12% | +9.0 | +1.4 | -8.3 | -2.1 |
| South 1 | Draw | 13% | 78% | 1% | 7% | +5.5 | -1.8 | -0.7 | -3.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 5,200 | 17% | 75% | 1% | 6% | -7.1 | +1.4 | +8.7 | -3.1 |
| South 2 | Draw | 10% | 83% | 2% | 5% | -4.4 | +4.3 | -1.2 | +1.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 7% | 87% | 1% | 4% | -1.2 | -0.1 | +2.6 | -1.3 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 18,000 | 4% | 91% | 2% | 3% | -19.1 | -12.7 | +52.6 | -20.7 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 8,000 | 3% | 78% | 17% | 3% | -13.7 | +1.9 | -13.0 | +24.8 |
| South 4 | Kondo Seiichi ron 5,800 from Sasaki Hisato | 1% | 87% | 4% | 9% | -12.9 | -0.7 | -4.5 | +18.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 84% | 3% | 13% | -3.9 | +4.9 | +21.1 | -22.1 |