Game · 2021-22 Semifinals
4/4 Game 1
Okada Sayaka finished 1st (+56.3pt). The game was decided in South 3, 2 honba: Okada Sayaka tsumo 8,000, which moved Okada Sayaka's expected points by +52.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Okada Sayaka 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Okada Sayaka Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Okada Sayaka ron 4,800 from Shiratori Sho | 26% | 26% | 24% | 24% | +12.1 | -14.5 | +0.4 | +2.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Okada Sayaka tsumo 4,800 | 33% | 16% | 25% | 26% | +12.7 | -2.2 | -5.1 | -5.4 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Draw | 45% | 15% | 20% | 21% | -3.3 | -1.8 | +6.2 | -1.1 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 8,000 | 43% | 15% | 23% | 20% | -4.4 | -14.6 | +26.0 | -6.9 |
| East 3 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 8,000 | 35% | 7% | 43% | 15% | -2.9 | +19.7 | -10.9 | -5.8 |
| East 4 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 7,800 | 34% | 15% | 36% | 15% | -12.6 | -6.2 | -6.2 | +25.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 26% | 13% | 32% | 30% | -1.7 | +6.8 | -2.6 | -2.4 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 18% | 29% | 29% | -16.9 | +31.2 | -6.1 | -8.2 |
| South 2 | Draw | 14% | 40% | 24% | 22% | -2.1 | -1.9 | -4.3 | +8.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 13% | 38% | 21% | 28% | +6.4 | -10.6 | +0.9 | +3.4 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Okada Sayaka tsumo 8,000 | 18% | 27% | 24% | 32% | +52.8 | -10.6 | -26.7 | -15.5 |
| South 4 | Okada Sayaka ron 3,900 from Mizuhara Akina | 74% | 9% | 3% | 14% | +15.5 | +8.1 | -14.3 | -9.3 |