Game · 2021-22 Semifinals
4/4 Game 2
Hinata Aiko finished 1st (+54.2pt). The game was decided in South 3: Hinata Aiko tsumo 18,000, which moved Hinata Aiko's expected points by +70.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Sawazaki Makoto 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Asakura Koshin 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Sawazaki Makoto Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Asakura Koshin Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 27% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -3.0 | +8.4 | -2.6 | -2.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sawazaki Makoto ron 2,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 23% | 29% | 24% | 24% | -8.8 | +8.0 | +0.2 | +0.6 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Hinata Aiko ron 1,000 from Sawazaki Makoto | 16% | 35% | 24% | 24% | +1.2 | -4.9 | +2.5 | +1.2 |
| East 3 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000 | 19% | 32% | 25% | 24% | +35.0 | -8.7 | -18.4 | -7.9 |
| East 4 | Asakura Koshin tsumo 12,000 | 45% | 23% | 13% | 19% | -14.4 | -12.9 | -9.8 | +37.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Hinata Aiko ron 3,900 from Katsumata Kenji | 31% | 14% | 9% | 47% | -11.9 | -0.4 | +11.1 | +1.2 |
| South 1 | Asakura Koshin ron 8,000 from Hinata Aiko | 21% | 14% | 13% | 52% | -4.4 | +1.1 | -20.2 | +23.5 |
| South 2 | Hinata Aiko ron 8,000 from Asakura Koshin | 8% | 9% | 4% | 79% | +2.8 | -5.3 | +16.0 | -13.6 |
| South 3 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 18,000 | 15% | 8% | 11% | 66% | -20.5 | -17.7 | +70.1 | -31.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Asakura Koshin ron 3,900 from Sawazaki Makoto | 4% | 1% | 77% | 18% | -0.8 | -11.0 | +0.9 | +10.9 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 0% | 80% | 19% | +1.9 | -2.2 | -3.3 | +3.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 75% | 24% | +35.0 | -5.6 | +7.3 | -36.7 |