Game · 2021-22 Semifinals

4/7 Game 1

Hori Shingo finished 1st (+79.9pt). The game was decided in East 1: Hori Shingo tsumo 16,000, which moved Hori Shingo's expected points by +46.0.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hands	Result	Ishibashi Nobuhiro 1st-place chance	Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance	Hori Shingo 1st-place chance	Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance	Ishibashi Nobuhiro Expected pt change	Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change	Hori Shingo Expected pt change	Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change
East 1	Hori Shingo tsumo 16,000	26%	25%	23%	26%	-23.6	-11.1	+46.0	-11.2
East 2	Uotani Yuumi tsumo 3,000	8%	15%	61%	15%	-3.2	+7.0	-2.9	-0.8
East 2, 1 honba	Uotani Yuumi ron 12,000 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro	8%	19%	58%	15%	-24.5	+30.4	-4.5	-1.4
East 2, 2 honba	Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Uotani Yuumi	3%	39%	48%	11%	-1.6	-22.0	+3.0	+20.6
East 3	Hori Shingo tsumo 18,000	3%	21%	53%	23%	-7.5	-13.6	+34.7	-13.7
East 3, 1 honba	Hori Shingo ron 7,700 from Uotani Yuumi	0%	6%	86%	7%	+1.8	-15.3	+11.7	+1.8
East 3, 2 honba	Ishibashi Nobuhiro tsumo 4,000	0%	2%	94%	4%	+7.4	-2.9	-3.3	-1.3
East 4	Draw	1%	2%	94%	4%	-2.4	+2.8	-1.8	+1.5
East 4, 1 honba	Draw	0%	2%	94%	4%	+0.3	-1.9	-1.9	+3.6
East 4, 2 honba	Uotani Yuumi ron 2,600 from Ooi Takaharu	0%	2%	91%	7%	-3.1	+9.9	+2.4	-9.2
South 1	Hori Shingo ron 12,000 from Uotani Yuumi	1%	2%	95%	2%	+0.6	-20.7	+13.5	+6.6
South 2	Ishibashi Nobuhiro ron 12,000 from Hori Shingo	0%	0%	99%	1%	+23.8	-10.9	-12.2	-0.8
South 3	Uotani Yuumi tsumo 8,000	0%	0%	99%	1%	-12.7	+19.3	-5.1	-1.6
South 4	Hori Shingo ron 1,600 from Ishibashi Nobuhiro	0%	0%	99%	1%	-8.9	+2.1	+2.9	+3.9