Game · 2021-22 Semifinals
4/7 Game 2
Kobayashi Go finished 1st (+54.9pt). The game was decided in East 4, 2 honba: Kobayashi Go tsumo 12,000, which moved Kobayashi Go's expected points by +39.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 4,000 | 23% | 25% | 26% | 27% | -4.9 | +10.1 | -2.9 | -2.3 |
| East 2 | Kondo Seiichi ron 1,300 from Kobayashi Go | 20% | 32% | 23% | 25% | +0.6 | -3.8 | +4.4 | -1.1 |
| East 3 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Kobayashi Go | 21% | 27% | 27% | 25% | +23.0 | -20.4 | -3.0 | +0.3 |
| East 4 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 3,900 | 38% | 15% | 24% | 24% | -2.3 | -3.2 | -6.6 | +12.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 36% | 14% | 18% | 33% | -3.1 | -2.6 | +0.9 | +4.8 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 12,000 | 33% | 12% | 19% | 36% | -11.2 | +39.8 | -10.4 | -18.2 |
| South 1 | Kobayashi Go ron 2,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 25% | 39% | 14% | 22% | -9.5 | +11.9 | -1.3 | -1.1 |
| South 2 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 15% | 53% | 12% | 20% | +27.0 | +0.6 | -0.8 | -26.7 |
| South 3 | Draw | 33% | 51% | 10% | 6% | -5.0 | -3.8 | +5.0 | +3.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 12,000 | 30% | 48% | 14% | 9% | -16.8 | -19.8 | +47.1 | -10.4 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 3,900 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 17% | 23% | 55% | 6% | -5.5 | +24.1 | -8.7 | -9.8 |
| South 4 | Kobayashi Go ron 1,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 11% | 49% | 37% | 3% | -7.1 | +23.7 | -11.0 | -5.6 |