Game · 2021-22 Semifinal Series
4/7 Game 2
Go Kobayashi finished 1st (+54.9pt). The game was decided in East 4, 2 honba: Go Kobayashi tsumo 12,000, which moved Go Kobayashi's expected points by +41.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 4,000 | 25% | 26% | 25% | 25% | -5.8 | +10.3 | -2.2 | -2.2 |
| East 2 | Seiichi Kondo ron 1,300 from Go Kobayashi | 22% | 32% | 24% | 22% | -1.8 | -5.7 | +5.0 | +2.5 |
| East 3 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi | 19% | 28% | 28% | 25% | +25.8 | -22.3 | -5.3 | +1.8 |
| East 4 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 3,900 | 39% | 14% | 22% | 26% | -3.9 | -2.9 | -2.2 | +9.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 36% | 13% | 20% | 31% | -2.9 | -2.0 | -3.9 | +8.8 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 12,000 | 31% | 12% | 18% | 39% | -9.2 | +41.3 | -10.1 | -22.1 |
| South 1 | Go Kobayashi ron 2,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 27% | 40% | 13% | 21% | -14.4 | +12.9 | +0.5 | +1.1 |
| South 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 12% | 55% | 12% | 21% | +30.5 | -1.6 | -0.3 | -28.6 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 34% | 50% | 10% | 7% | -4.9 | -4.0 | +3.8 | +5.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Seiichi Kondo tsumo 12,000 | 31% | 47% | 12% | 10% | -16.6 | -18.4 | +45.6 | -10.6 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 3,900 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 18% | 24% | 53% | 5% | -6.0 | +23.6 | -6.8 | -10.9 |
| South 4 | Go Kobayashi ron 1,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 11% | 50% | 37% | 3% | -7.4 | +23.4 | -10.8 | -5.2 |