Game · 2022-23 Final Series
5/8 Game 2
Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+58.0pt). The game was decided in East 1: Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +33.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Takaya Matsugase 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Arisa Date Expected pt change | Takaya Matsugase Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 26% | 23% | 25% | +33.6 | -12.8 | -9.8 | -11.0 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara ron 12,000 from Arisa Date | 51% | 16% | 16% | 17% | -3.0 | +29.5 | -25.8 | -0.7 |
| East 2 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 2,700 | 47% | 33% | 7% | 14% | +13.1 | -9.5 | -2.4 | -1.3 |
| East 3 | Masato Hagiwara ron 5,200 from Arisa Date | 61% | 22% | 5% | 12% | -2.5 | +14.1 | -12.5 | +0.9 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 56% | 31% | 2% | 11% | -1.7 | -2.8 | +0.4 | +4.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Takaya Matsugase tsumo 18,000 | 54% | 30% | 2% | 14% | -19.0 | -18.6 | -9.9 | +47.6 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000 | 31% | 16% | 1% | 52% | +25.6 | -6.3 | -5.3 | -14.1 |
| South 1 | Takaya Matsugase ron 3,900 from Arisa Date | 59% | 10% | 0% | 32% | -5.4 | -3.1 | -3.4 | +12.0 |
| South 2 | Arisa Date tsumo 8,000 | 49% | 8% | 0% | 43% | +4.2 | -10.9 | +9.3 | -2.7 |
| South 3 | Arisa Date ron 2,900 from Masato Hagiwara | 59% | 1% | 0% | 40% | -0.7 | -4.8 | +4.5 | +1.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 58% | 1% | 1% | 41% | -0.4 | -0.7 | +2.2 | -1.2 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 12,000 | 58% | 1% | 1% | 40% | -2.5 | +23.7 | -10.6 | -10.6 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 63% | 10% | 0% | 26% | +16.4 | -9.5 | +2.5 | -9.5 |