Game · 2022-23 Finals
5/8 Game 2
Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+58.0pt). The game was decided in East 1: Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +32.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | +32.4 | -9.4 | -12.5 | -10.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 12,000 from Date Arisa | 51% | 16% | 17% | 16% | -2.9 | +28.1 | -26.1 | +0.9 |
| East 2 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 2,700 | 46% | 31% | 6% | 17% | +11.7 | -6.8 | -3.2 | -1.7 |
| East 3 | Hagiwara Masato ron 5,200 from Date Arisa | 58% | 24% | 4% | 13% | +0.6 | +12.4 | -12.0 | -0.9 |
| East 4 | Draw | 57% | 31% | 1% | 11% | -3.0 | -1.7 | -1.6 | +6.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 18,000 | 53% | 30% | 1% | 15% | -19.8 | -17.7 | -8.7 | +46.1 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000 | 29% | 17% | 1% | 53% | +26.5 | -7.1 | -3.0 | -16.3 |
| South 1 | Matsugase Takaya ron 3,900 from Date Arisa | 59% | 11% | 1% | 29% | -4.3 | -4.5 | -4.4 | +13.2 |
| South 2 | Date Arisa tsumo 8,000 | 51% | 7% | 0% | 42% | +2.5 | -10.9 | +8.9 | -0.5 |
| South 3 | Date Arisa ron 2,900 from Hagiwara Masato | 57% | 1% | 1% | 42% | +1.4 | -3.5 | +3.2 | -1.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 60% | 0% | 1% | 39% | -1.6 | -2.0 | +4.4 | -0.7 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 12,000 | 58% | 1% | 1% | 40% | -2.4 | +24.4 | -11.5 | -10.4 |
| South 4 | Draw | 64% | 10% | 0% | 26% | +16.2 | -9.0 | +2.7 | -9.8 |