Game · 2022-23 Final Series
5/9 Game 2
Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+99.1pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 24,000, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +42.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Rumi Nikaido 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Rumi Nikaido Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 4,000 | 26% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -8.5 | -1.8 | +13.3 | -3.0 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 18% | 22% | 35% | 25% | -8.2 | +3.7 | +3.0 | +1.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 15% | 24% | 37% | 24% | -1.6 | +5.6 | -3.4 | -0.5 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 14% | 27% | 33% | 25% | +2.0 | +5.4 | -2.5 | -4.9 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 12,000 | 15% | 32% | 31% | 22% | +41.7 | -23.3 | -8.7 | -9.6 |
| East 3 | Saki Kurosawa ron 8,000 from Rumi Nikaido | 45% | 15% | 25% | 16% | +0.8 | -23.6 | -2.0 | +24.8 |
| East 4 | Rumi Nikaido ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 45% | 5% | 21% | 29% | +0.9 | +23.5 | -0.8 | -23.6 |
| South 1 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 2,900 from Takaharu Ooi | 48% | 15% | 21% | 16% | +9.3 | +1.5 | -9.8 | -1.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 24,000 | 58% | 15% | 14% | 13% | +42.2 | -15.6 | -12.2 | -14.4 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 12,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 96% | 1% | 2% | 1% | +15.3 | +4.6 | +4.3 | -24.2 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 99% | 1% | 1% | 0% | +2.1 | -1.3 | -2.7 | +1.9 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Rumi Nikaido ron 3,900 from Saki Kurosawa | 99% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -2.6 | +13.3 | -0.7 | -10.0 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 99% | 1% | 0% | 0% | -0.9 | +2.7 | -3.7 | +2.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 12,000 | 99% | 1% | 0% | 0% | -2.6 | -13.3 | -9.9 | +25.8 |
| South 3 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | +9.2 | +6.9 | +4.1 | -20.2 |
| South 4 | Rumi Nikaido ron 2,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -0.1 | +8.8 | +0.3 | -9.0 |