Game · 2022-23 Finals
5/9 Game 2
Takizawa Kazunori finished 1st (+99.1pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 24,000, which moved Takizawa Kazunori's expected points by +42.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 4,000 | 26% | 26% | 23% | 25% | -10.1 | -4.1 | +15.4 | -1.2 |
| East 2 | Draw | 19% | 22% | 35% | 24% | -7.2 | +1.9 | +3.5 | +1.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 15% | 23% | 37% | 26% | -2.0 | +7.6 | -2.6 | -2.9 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Draw | 13% | 28% | 36% | 23% | +1.8 | +2.8 | -2.9 | -1.8 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 12,000 | 14% | 31% | 33% | 23% | +42.8 | -20.5 | -11.9 | -10.4 |
| East 3 | Kurosawa Saki ron 8,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 46% | 16% | 23% | 16% | +1.1 | -23.2 | -1.7 | +23.8 |
| East 4 | Nikaido Rumi ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 45% | 7% | 19% | 29% | +0.4 | +21.1 | +1.3 | -22.8 |
| South 1 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 2,900 from Ooi Takaharu | 48% | 15% | 22% | 16% | +9.2 | +0.4 | -9.2 | -0.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 24,000 | 58% | 13% | 14% | 14% | +42.8 | -12.4 | -14.6 | -15.8 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 12,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 96% | 2% | 2% | 1% | +14.3 | +3.9 | +5.8 | -24.0 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Draw | 99% | 0% | 1% | 0% | +1.6 | -2.7 | -1.2 | +2.2 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Nikaido Rumi ron 3,900 from Kurosawa Saki | 99% | 0% | 1% | 0% | -1.6 | +15.0 | -2.0 | -11.5 |
| South 2 | Draw | 99% | 1% | 1% | 0% | -1.4 | +3.6 | -4.4 | +2.2 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000 | 99% | 1% | 0% | 0% | -3.1 | -15.5 | -9.9 | +28.5 |
| South 3 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 99% | 0% | 0% | 0% | +10.1 | +7.2 | +4.0 | -21.3 |
| South 4 | Nikaido Rumi ron 2,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | -0.3 | +9.2 | +0.4 | -9.3 |