Game · 2022-23 Finals
5/11 Game 1
Shiratori Sho finished 1st (+56.3pt). The game was decided in East 4: Shiratori Sho tsumo 8,000, which moved Shiratori Sho's expected points by +24.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 24% | 26% | 25% | 26% | +6.0 | +1.4 | -3.2 | -4.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 2,000 from Shiratori Sho | 27% | 28% | 23% | 23% | -7.4 | +0.4 | +0.5 | +6.5 |
| East 2 | Draw | 21% | 28% | 23% | 28% | -8.0 | +4.6 | +3.0 | +0.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 4,800 from Katsumata Kenji | 18% | 31% | 24% | 27% | +0.2 | +14.6 | -13.9 | -0.9 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Draw | 16% | 41% | 16% | 27% | +5.1 | -4.4 | +1.6 | -2.3 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 2,700 | 20% | 37% | 17% | 25% | -3.9 | +14.7 | -7.6 | -3.3 |
| East 4 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 8,000 | 15% | 53% | 11% | 21% | +24.3 | -3.2 | -5.5 | -15.6 |
| South 1 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 7,800 | 32% | 48% | 9% | 11% | +22.3 | -11.2 | -5.6 | -5.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 56% | 32% | 5% | 7% | -1.5 | -0.6 | +4.3 | -2.3 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 8,000 | 56% | 30% | 6% | 7% | +0.6 | -18.9 | +28.6 | -10.3 |
| South 3 | Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 61% | 15% | 18% | 6% | -0.1 | +28.2 | -26.4 | -1.8 |
| South 4 | Shiratori Sho ron 2,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 57% | 37% | 1% | 4% | +20.4 | -15.1 | +3.4 | -8.7 |