Game · 2022-23 Finals
5/12 Game 1
Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+59.2pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Matsugase Takaya, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +26.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sasaki Hisato ron 1,600 from Kurosawa Saki | 27% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -8.1 | +6.5 | +0.8 | +0.9 |
| East 2 | Draw | 21% | 28% | 24% | 27% | +1.3 | -3.0 | -2.0 | +3.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Matsugase Takaya | 22% | 26% | 24% | 28% | -25.6 | +26.4 | -1.5 | +0.7 |
| East 4 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 2,700 | 8% | 49% | 19% | 25% | -1.4 | +1.0 | +8.1 | -7.8 |
| South 1 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 5,200 | 7% | 51% | 24% | 18% | -9.3 | +17.3 | -4.8 | -3.2 |
| South 2 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 73% | 14% | 12% | -7.4 | -12.3 | +26.7 | -7.0 |
| South 3 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 2,000 | 1% | 55% | 35% | 9% | -3.4 | +3.4 | -4.5 | +4.4 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 62% | 27% | 10% | -2.5 | +2.9 | -2.2 | +1.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 1,000 from Shiratori Sho | 0% | 66% | 23% | 11% | -1.1 | +17.0 | -7.2 | -8.7 |