Game · 2022-23 Final Series
5/12 Game 1
Hisato Sasaki finished 1st (+59.2pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Takaya Matsugase, which moved Hisato Sasaki's expected points by +27.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takaya Matsugase 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Takaya Matsugase Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hisato Sasaki ron 1,600 from Saki Kurosawa | 25% | 24% | 26% | 24% | -4.7 | +6.1 | -0.3 | -1.1 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 29% | 26% | 24% | -1.8 | -2.1 | -1.5 | +5.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Takaya Matsugase | 21% | 26% | 25% | 27% | -23.9 | +27.4 | -3.8 | +0.3 |
| East 4 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 2,700 | 8% | 50% | 18% | 25% | -2.2 | +1.2 | +7.5 | -6.5 |
| South 1 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 5,200 | 7% | 52% | 21% | 19% | -8.9 | +17.4 | -3.1 | -5.4 |
| South 2 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 75% | 14% | 10% | -7.5 | -13.7 | +27.0 | -5.7 |
| South 3 | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 2,000 | 1% | 55% | 37% | 8% | -3.4 | +2.7 | -4.1 | +4.7 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 61% | 29% | 10% | -2.9 | +3.5 | -2.4 | +1.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 1,000 from Sho Shiratori | 0% | 66% | 24% | 10% | -0.9 | +17.3 | -7.8 | -8.7 |