Game · 2022-23 Final Series
5/15 Game 2
Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+55.8pt). The game was decided in South 1: Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +28.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kenji Katsumata ron 3,900 from Kazunori Takizawa | 24% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -11.7 | -0.8 | +10.9 | +1.6 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 17% | 23% | 33% | 28% | +7.3 | -3.1 | -0.9 | -3.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 4,000 | 22% | 21% | 32% | 25% | -3.6 | -3.7 | -7.9 | +15.2 |
| East 4 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 6,000 | 19% | 18% | 25% | 37% | -6.9 | -4.4 | -7.3 | +18.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 5,200 from Takaharu Ooi | 14% | 15% | 18% | 54% | +24.5 | -0.4 | -2.9 | -21.2 |
| South 1 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000 | 32% | 15% | 18% | 35% | -15.2 | -7.5 | -6.2 | +28.9 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 13% | 9% | 12% | 67% | +2.7 | -5.7 | -3.9 | +6.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 12,000 | 11% | 3% | 10% | 76% | +51.6 | -6.4 | -21.5 | -23.6 |
| South 4 | Takaharu Ooi ron 7,700 from Kenji Katsumata | 76% | 0% | 0% | 24% | -19.4 | +5.0 | -12.9 | +27.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 12,000 | 28% | 0% | 0% | 72% | -14.9 | +15.9 | -4.7 | +3.8 |