Game · 2022-23 Finals
5/15 Game 2
Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+55.8pt). The game was decided in South 1: Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +27.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Katsumata Kenji ron 3,900 from Takizawa Kazunori | 25% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -11.5 | +0.7 | +11.0 | -0.2 |
| East 2 | Draw | 17% | 24% | 33% | 25% | +7.0 | -3.6 | -4.0 | +0.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 4,000 | 21% | 23% | 30% | 26% | -3.1 | -3.9 | -7.2 | +14.2 |
| East 4 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 6,000 | 20% | 18% | 24% | 37% | -6.3 | -5.0 | -5.8 | +17.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 5,200 from Ooi Takaharu | 14% | 15% | 19% | 52% | +21.7 | -0.6 | -1.5 | -19.5 |
| South 1 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000 | 30% | 17% | 19% | 34% | -13.7 | -6.9 | -7.3 | +27.9 |
| South 2 | Draw | 13% | 10% | 12% | 65% | +3.9 | -7.2 | -3.9 | +7.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 12,000 | 12% | 4% | 11% | 74% | +51.0 | -6.0 | -21.7 | -23.3 |
| South 4 | Ooi Takaharu ron 7,700 from Katsumata Kenji | 77% | 0% | 0% | 23% | -19.4 | +5.3 | -13.1 | +27.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 12,000 | 28% | 0% | 0% | 72% | -15.4 | +15.9 | -4.7 | +4.2 |