Game · 2022-23 Finals
5/16 Game 1
Takizawa Kazunori finished 1st (+83.8pt). The game was decided in East 4: Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 48,000, which moved Takizawa Kazunori's expected points by +97.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Matsugase Takaya ron 2,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 26% | 23% | 24% | 26% | -1.5 | +4.4 | -4.5 | +1.6 |
| East 2 | Draw | 24% | 27% | 23% | 26% | +2.6 | +5.7 | -3.6 | -4.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 2,000 | 25% | 32% | 20% | 23% | +1.2 | -4.9 | +5.3 | -1.5 |
| East 3 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 8,000 | 28% | 27% | 23% | 23% | +27.8 | -8.1 | -17.2 | -2.5 |
| East 4 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 48,000 | 51% | 19% | 10% | 20% | -39.7 | -29.9 | -28.0 | +97.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 1% | 0% | 98% | +21.0 | -6.5 | -5.1 | -9.3 |
| South 1 | Hagiwara Masato ron 12,000 from Shiratori Sho | 5% | 0% | 1% | 94% | -21.2 | -4.7 | +23.1 | +2.8 |
| South 2 | Matsugase Takaya ron 5,800 from Hagiwara Masato | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | -0.3 | +14.9 | -14.7 | +0.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 5,200 from Matsugase Takaya | 0% | 1% | 0% | 99% | +3.4 | -17.5 | +13.9 | +0.2 |
| South 3 | Shiratori Sho ron 2,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 0% | 0% | 1% | 100% | +6.1 | -0.8 | -6.0 | +0.8 |
| South 4 | Matsugase Takaya ron 8,000 from Shiratori Sho | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -6.2 | +22.0 | -14.5 | -1.3 |