Game · 2022-23 Final Series
5/16 Game 1
Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+83.8pt). The game was decided in East 4: Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 48,000, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +100.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Takaya Matsugase 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Takaya Matsugase Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takaya Matsugase ron 2,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 24% | 25% | 24% | 27% | -1.1 | +5.4 | -3.7 | -0.6 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 24% | 29% | 21% | 27% | +2.9 | +2.6 | -2.5 | -3.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 2,000 | 25% | 29% | 21% | 25% | -0.1 | -2.5 | +4.0 | -1.4 |
| East 3 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 29% | 22% | 24% | +30.3 | -7.7 | -15.3 | -7.4 |
| East 4 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 48,000 | 52% | 20% | 11% | 17% | -40.3 | -31.3 | -28.9 | +100.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 1% | 0% | 97% | +21.3 | -7.2 | -5.2 | -9.0 |
| South 1 | Masato Hagiwara ron 12,000 from Sho Shiratori | 7% | 0% | 0% | 93% | -21.9 | -2.9 | +22.3 | +2.6 |
| South 2 | Takaya Matsugase ron 5,800 from Masato Hagiwara | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | +0.2 | +13.8 | -14.1 | +0.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara ron 5,200 from Takaya Matsugase | 0% | 1% | 0% | 99% | +3.2 | -17.5 | +13.7 | +0.7 |
| South 3 | Sho Shiratori ron 2,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +6.9 | -1.5 | -6.2 | +0.9 |
| South 4 | Takaya Matsugase ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -6.9 | +22.4 | -14.0 | -1.6 |