Game · 2022-23 Final Series
5/16 Game 2
Yoshihiro Matsumoto finished 1st (+106.8pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 18,000 from Hisato Sasaki, which moved Yoshihiro Matsumoto's expected points by +33.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | -12.6 | -3.9 | -6.5 | +23.1 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 16% | 20% | 22% | 42% | -3.2 | +6.2 | -1.4 | -1.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 14% | 25% | 21% | 40% | +1.0 | -4.7 | +25.5 | -21.8 |
| East 3 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 7,800 | 16% | 20% | 40% | 24% | -7.2 | -5.6 | +20.4 | -7.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 18,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 10% | 15% | 59% | 16% | +4.4 | -38.1 | +33.7 | -0.1 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 3,900 from Kenji Katsumata | 4% | 1% | 89% | 7% | +0.1 | +9.2 | -0.3 | -9.0 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 2% | 91% | 4% | -2.3 | -3.0 | -2.0 | +7.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 2,600 from Saki Kurosawa | 4% | 1% | 90% | 5% | -10.3 | +8.5 | +3.0 | -1.1 |
| South 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 2,600 from Saki Kurosawa | 2% | 2% | 93% | 3% | -7.1 | -0.8 | +3.5 | +4.4 |
| South 2 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 1% | 97% | 3% | -5.6 | -6.6 | -1.1 | +13.2 |
| South 3 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 7,700 from Saki Kurosawa | 0% | 0% | 96% | 4% | -14.9 | +5.5 | +9.8 | -0.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 18,000 | 0% | 0% | 99% | 1% | -5.2 | -8.4 | +19.5 | -5.9 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 5,200 from Kenji Katsumata | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | +7.5 | +0.1 | -0.7 | -6.8 |
| South 4 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 1,100 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -6.7 | +4.4 | +1.7 | +0.6 |