Game · 2022-23 Finals
5/18 Game 1
Shiratori Sho finished 1st (+57.0pt). The game was decided in East 1: Shiratori Sho tsumo 12,000, which moved Shiratori Sho's expected points by +30.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | +30.3 | -11.7 | -10.1 | -8.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 8,000 | 49% | 16% | 17% | 18% | -12.3 | -6.1 | -6.5 | +24.9 |
| East 2 | Shiratori Sho ron 2,600 from Honda Tomohiro | 37% | 14% | 14% | 36% | +9.5 | -3.1 | -0.5 | -5.8 |
| East 3 | Date Arisa ron 12,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 47% | 10% | 14% | 30% | +0.4 | +0.2 | +31.0 | -31.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 5,200 from Honda Tomohiro | 45% | 11% | 31% | 13% | +2.4 | +13.9 | -2.9 | -13.4 |
| East 4 | Draw | 49% | 17% | 27% | 8% | -0.5 | +6.4 | +0.4 | -6.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 2,400 from Katsumata Kenji | 49% | 20% | 27% | 5% | +8.6 | -7.1 | -1.5 | 0.0 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 2,600 from Katsumata Kenji | 57% | 15% | 24% | 4% | +3.3 | -11.2 | +0.6 | +7.3 |
| South 2 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 2,700 | 65% | 8% | 21% | 6% | +9.8 | -5.9 | -0.2 | -3.7 |
| South 3 | Date Arisa ron 2,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 79% | 1% | 16% | 3% | -1.1 | -6.7 | +5.5 | +2.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 77% | 1% | 18% | 4% | +9.2 | -0.8 | -6.4 | -2.0 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 1,500 from Katsumata Kenji | 93% | 0% | 4% | 2% | -0.6 | -14.5 | -0.4 | +15.5 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Draw | 93% | 0% | 4% | 3% | -6.2 | +2.4 | +3.8 | 0.0 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 8,000 | 85% | 0% | 10% | 5% | +3.9 | +28.2 | -4.6 | -27.5 |