Game · 2022-23 Finals
5/19 Game 1
Takizawa Kazunori finished 1st (+64.5pt). The game was decided in South 2: Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 12,000, which moved Takizawa Kazunori's expected points by +32.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 25% | 24% | 26% | +2.5 | -4.0 | +5.8 | -4.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 12,000 | 27% | 22% | 28% | 24% | +30.6 | -9.4 | -12.0 | -9.2 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Draw | 51% | 15% | 18% | 16% | -1.2 | -2.3 | -2.5 | +5.9 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Matsugase Takaya ron 1,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 52% | 13% | 17% | 18% | -2.9 | -3.8 | +1.4 | +5.3 |
| East 3 | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 8,000 | 49% | 11% | 18% | 22% | -8.0 | -5.2 | -13.8 | +27.0 |
| East 4 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 1,100 | 39% | 8% | 10% | 43% | +8.6 | -1.7 | -4.0 | -2.9 |
| South 1 | Matsugase Takaya ron 5,200 from Hagiwara Masato | 47% | 7% | 7% | 38% | -4.5 | -11.2 | +1.9 | +13.9 |
| South 2 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 12,000 | 38% | 4% | 7% | 52% | +32.6 | -12.8 | -4.2 | -15.5 |
| South 3 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 3,900 from Takizawa Kazunori | 81% | 0% | 2% | 17% | -7.0 | -1.9 | +7.3 | +1.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 1,100 | 73% | 0% | 4% | 24% | +5.8 | -1.6 | -4.0 | -0.1 |
| South 4 | Hagiwara Masato ron 1,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 83% | 0% | 0% | 17% | +7.1 | +0.1 | +1.1 | -8.4 |