Game · 2022-23 Final Series
5/19 Game 1
Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+64.5pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 12,000, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +32.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Takaya Matsugase 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Takaya Matsugase Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 24% | 25% | 27% | +2.7 | -4.4 | +6.8 | -5.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 12,000 | 27% | 22% | 28% | 22% | +32.7 | -8.0 | -13.4 | -11.3 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 52% | 17% | 17% | 14% | -3.6 | -5.2 | -2.5 | +11.3 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Takaya Matsugase ron 1,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 50% | 12% | 17% | 20% | -3.6 | -2.0 | +0.3 | +5.3 |
| East 3 | Takaya Matsugase tsumo 8,000 | 46% | 12% | 18% | 24% | -5.2 | -5.6 | -13.6 | +24.4 |
| East 4 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 1,100 | 40% | 9% | 8% | 43% | +7.1 | +0.4 | -3.6 | -3.9 |
| South 1 | Takaya Matsugase ron 5,200 from Masato Hagiwara | 47% | 9% | 7% | 36% | -1.9 | -14.0 | +0.6 | +15.3 |
| South 2 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 12,000 | 40% | 3% | 5% | 53% | +31.1 | -12.7 | -2.5 | -15.9 |
| South 3 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 3,900 from Kazunori Takizawa | 81% | 0% | 2% | 17% | -9.0 | -1.5 | +6.9 | +3.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 1,100 | 70% | 0% | 4% | 26% | +8.6 | -1.9 | -2.9 | -3.8 |
| South 4 | Masato Hagiwara ron 1,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 85% | 0% | 0% | 15% | +5.9 | +0.4 | +0.5 | -6.7 |