Game · 2022-23 Final Series
5/19 Game 2
Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+59.8pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Takaharu Ooi ron 12,000 from Hisato Sasaki, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +35.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 7,800 | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | +21.6 | -6.3 | -6.8 | -8.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 12,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 43% | 19% | 19% | 19% | -6.2 | +1.3 | -30.9 | +35.8 |
| East 2 | Saki Kurosawa ron 2,900 from Hisato Sasaki | 32% | 18% | 6% | 44% | +1.4 | +4.6 | -4.0 | -2.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 12,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 33% | 19% | 5% | 42% | -30.6 | +31.1 | -0.1 | -0.4 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 3,900 from Hisato Sasaki | 12% | 43% | 5% | 40% | 0.0 | -3.4 | -8.7 | +12.1 |
| East 3 | Kenji Katsumata ron 8,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 11% | 37% | 3% | 50% | +19.2 | +4.6 | -4.1 | -19.7 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 45% | 2% | 31% | +4.2 | -6.9 | -0.8 | +3.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 4,800 from Kenji Katsumata | 26% | 37% | 2% | 35% | -13.4 | +0.8 | +0.4 | +12.2 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 6,400 from Saki Kurosawa | 15% | 36% | 2% | 47% | +0.1 | -15.7 | +9.4 | +6.2 |
| South 1 | Hisato Sasaki ron 3,900 from Kenji Katsumata | 15% | 22% | 3% | 60% | -12.4 | +0.7 | +7.9 | +3.8 |
| South 2 | Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 8% | 21% | 4% | 67% | -17.9 | -3.0 | -0.2 | +21.1 |
| South 3 | Kenji Katsumata ron 12,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 0% | 5% | 1% | 93% | +25.6 | -3.2 | -22.9 | +0.5 |
| South 4 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 3% | 0% | 96% | -9.4 | +2.6 | +12.8 | -5.9 |