Game · 2022-23 Finals

5/19 Game 2

Ooi Takaharu finished 1st (+59.8pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Ooi Takaharu ron 12,000 from Sasaki Hisato, which moved Ooi Takaharu's expected points by +32.1.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

Hands	Result	Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance	Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance	Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance	Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance	Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change	Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change	Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change	Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change
East 1	Katsumata Kenji tsumo 7,800	26%	24%	24%	27%	+15.6	-4.2	-4.3	-7.2
East 1, 1 honba	Ooi Takaharu ron 12,000 from Sasaki Hisato	37%	20%	21%	21%	0.0	-1.7	-30.5	+32.1
East 2	Kurosawa Saki ron 2,900 from Sasaki Hisato	33%	17%	7%	43%	-1.4	+6.3	-6.7	+1.7
East 2, 1 honba	Kurosawa Saki ron 12,000 from Katsumata Kenji	31%	20%	5%	44%	-30.7	+31.2	+1.2	-1.7
East 2, 2 honba	Ooi Takaharu ron 3,900 from Sasaki Hisato	11%	43%	4%	42%	-0.6	-2.2	-7.7	+10.6
East 3	Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Ooi Takaharu	10%	37%	4%	50%	+21.2	+2.4	-4.6	-19.0
East 4	Draw	22%	44%	2%	33%	+3.2	-3.1	-2.5	+2.4
East 4, 1 honba	Ooi Takaharu ron 4,800 from Katsumata Kenji	24%	40%	2%	35%	-12.5	-2.5	+0.1	+14.9
East 4, 2 honba	Sasaki Hisato ron 6,400 from Kurosawa Saki	16%	34%	1%	49%	+0.3	-15.1	+12.0	+2.8
South 1	Sasaki Hisato ron 3,900 from Katsumata Kenji	16%	24%	3%	57%	-13.0	+0.8	+5.6	+6.6
South 2	Ooi Takaharu ron 8,000 from Katsumata Kenji	7%	22%	3%	68%	-17.9	-2.6	+2.2	+18.4
South 3	Katsumata Kenji ron 12,000 from Sasaki Hisato	0%	6%	2%	91%	+26.0	-2.8	-24.5	+1.3
South 4	Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000	1%	3%	0%	96%	-9.4	+2.1	+12.6	-5.3

All 2022-23 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)