Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
1/2 Game 1
Rumi Nikaido finished 1st (+57.1pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Rumi Nikaido tsumo 12,000, which moved Rumi Nikaido's expected points by +68.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Rumi Nikaido 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Rumi Nikaido Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 6,000 | 25% | 23% | 26% | 25% | +18.4 | -5.8 | -6.5 | -6.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Rumi Nikaido tsumo 2,000 | 39% | 20% | 20% | 21% | -7.1 | +9.6 | -1.3 | -1.2 |
| East 2 | Ken Sonoda ron 5,200 from Yuumi Uotani | 33% | 25% | 21% | 21% | +1.4 | -2.1 | +14.1 | -13.4 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 34% | 24% | 30% | 13% | -2.6 | -2.0 | +6.6 | -2.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Rumi Nikaido tsumo 2,700 | 31% | 22% | 34% | 13% | -1.7 | +12.4 | -6.5 | -4.2 |
| East 4 | Yuumi Uotani ron 1,500 from Ken Sonoda | 30% | 30% | 28% | 12% | -0.1 | +0.4 | -4.7 | +4.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Naoki Setokuma ron 2,600 from Ken Sonoda | 30% | 33% | 24% | 13% | +9.4 | +1.4 | -7.1 | -3.7 |
| South 1 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 4,000 | 38% | 32% | 20% | 11% | -8.9 | -2.7 | +16.0 | -4.4 |
| South 2 | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 12,000 | 30% | 31% | 31% | 9% | +41.2 | -23.9 | -9.5 | -7.7 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 79% | 4% | 14% | 4% | +3.7 | +3.1 | -6.5 | -0.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Rumi Nikaido tsumo 12,000 | 88% | 4% | 4% | 4% | -38.8 | +68.0 | -14.0 | -15.2 |