Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
1/2 Game 1
Nikaido Rumi finished 1st (+57.1pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Nikaido Rumi tsumo 12,000, which moved Nikaido Rumi's expected points by +68.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 6,000 | 26% | 23% | 25% | 26% | +17.9 | -6.3 | -5.2 | -6.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 2,000 | 39% | 19% | 22% | 20% | -8.9 | +10.5 | +1.1 | -2.8 |
| East 2 | Sonoda Ken ron 5,200 from Uotani Yuumi | 32% | 26% | 23% | 19% | +1.4 | -0.9 | +12.3 | -12.8 |
| East 3 | Draw | 31% | 24% | 31% | 14% | -0.6 | -1.2 | +5.7 | -3.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 2,700 | 32% | 23% | 34% | 11% | -1.6 | +9.4 | -6.7 | -1.1 |
| East 4 | Uotani Yuumi ron 1,500 from Sonoda Ken | 32% | 29% | 28% | 11% | -0.8 | +1.0 | -2.5 | +2.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki ron 2,600 from Sonoda Ken | 31% | 30% | 26% | 13% | +11.4 | +1.1 | -9.4 | -3.1 |
| South 1 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 4,000 | 41% | 31% | 19% | 9% | -11.8 | -3.3 | +17.4 | -2.4 |
| South 2 | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 12,000 | 29% | 29% | 32% | 9% | +42.8 | -22.4 | -11.5 | -8.9 |
| South 3 | Draw | 81% | 4% | 12% | 3% | +2.3 | +2.6 | -5.5 | +0.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 12,000 | 87% | 4% | 4% | 4% | -38.5 | +68.6 | -14.2 | -16.0 |