Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
1/2 Game 2
Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+66.5pt). The game was decided in East 2, 3 honba: Kurosawa Saki tsumo 16,000, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +46.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 24% | 26% | 25% | -2.3 | +6.2 | -1.2 | -2.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 24% | 29% | 24% | 23% | -5.9 | +7.7 | -2.7 | +0.9 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Murakami Jun ron 3,900 from Matsugase Takaya | 19% | 34% | 23% | 24% | +0.1 | +15.3 | -13.3 | -2.1 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 16,000 | 19% | 47% | 14% | 20% | -12.6 | -25.1 | -8.5 | +46.1 |
| East 3 | Kurosawa Saki ron 5,200 from Murakami Jun | 10% | 21% | 9% | 60% | +0.6 | -13.7 | -4.0 | +17.2 |
| East 4 | Kurosawa Saki ron 12,000 from Matsugase Takaya | 7% | 9% | 4% | 80% | +2.7 | +1.9 | -21.1 | +16.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Draw | 3% | 4% | 1% | 92% | +0.3 | -5.7 | +3.9 | +1.6 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Draw | 3% | 3% | 1% | 93% | -2.1 | +3.0 | -2.6 | +1.8 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 4% | 1% | 93% | -8.6 | -7.4 | +22.1 | -6.2 |
| South 1 | Matsugase Takaya ron 12,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 2% | 3% | 2% | 93% | -8.1 | -3.5 | +28.4 | -16.8 |
| South 2 | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 6% | 12% | 81% | -3.7 | -15.5 | +22.5 | -3.2 |
| South 3 | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 0% | 24% | 75% | -2.4 | -0.3 | -12.2 | +14.9 |
| South 4 | Murakami Jun ron 3,900 from Matsugase Takaya | 0% | 0% | 2% | 98% | -8.7 | +13.8 | -4.0 | -1.1 |