Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
1/3 Game 2
Mari Takamiya finished 1st (+64.5pt). The game was decided in East 1: Mari Takamiya tsumo 12,000, which moved Mari Takamiya's expected points by +32.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Namba Shibukawa 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Namba Shibukawa Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 27% | 24% | 24% | -16.6 | -9.4 | -6.8 | +32.8 |
| East 2 | Mari Takamiya ron 8,000 from Namba Shibukawa | 13% | 18% | 17% | 53% | +0.8 | -20.4 | -2.3 | +21.9 |
| East 3 | Namba Shibukawa ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori | 9% | 6% | 12% | 74% | -0.5 | +19.1 | -21.1 | +2.5 |
| East 4 | Go Kobayashi ron 2,600 from Sho Shiratori | 9% | 8% | 4% | 79% | +5.9 | -0.8 | -5.7 | +0.6 |
| South 1 | Namba Shibukawa ron 1,000 from Go Kobayashi | 9% | 7% | 3% | 81% | -3.4 | +6.1 | -4.6 | +2.0 |
| South 2 | Go Kobayashi ron 1,300 from Namba Shibukawa | 4% | 9% | 2% | 85% | +5.6 | -6.3 | -2.5 | +3.2 |
| South 3 | Namba Shibukawa ron 2,000 from Sho Shiratori | 2% | 2% | 1% | 94% | -1.0 | +6.9 | -7.9 | +2.0 |
| South 4 | Namba Shibukawa tsumo 1,100 | 1% | 1% | 0% | 99% | -8.9 | +10.4 | -0.8 | -0.7 |