Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
1/3 Game 2
Takamiya Mari finished 1st (+64.5pt). The game was decided in East 1: Takamiya Mari tsumo 12,000, which moved Takamiya Mari's expected points by +32.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takamiya Mari tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 26% | -17.5 | -8.3 | -6.8 | +32.6 |
| East 2 | Takamiya Mari ron 8,000 from Shibukawa Namba | 12% | 17% | 18% | 52% | +2.3 | -20.0 | -3.9 | +21.6 |
| East 3 | Shibukawa Namba ron 8,000 from Shiratori Sho | 10% | 5% | 12% | 73% | -0.2 | +20.0 | -21.7 | +1.9 |
| East 4 | Kobayashi Go ron 2,600 from Shiratori Sho | 8% | 10% | 5% | 78% | +6.8 | -0.2 | -7.0 | +0.4 |
| South 1 | Shibukawa Namba ron 1,000 from Kobayashi Go | 10% | 9% | 2% | 79% | -6.1 | +5.3 | -2.5 | +3.3 |
| South 2 | Kobayashi Go ron 1,300 from Shibukawa Namba | 3% | 9% | 2% | 86% | +7.1 | -7.4 | -1.5 | +1.8 |
| South 3 | Shibukawa Namba ron 2,000 from Shiratori Sho | 4% | 2% | 2% | 92% | -1.7 | +7.3 | -8.8 | +3.1 |
| South 4 | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 1,100 | 0% | 1% | 0% | 99% | -9.1 | +11.0 | -0.7 | -1.2 |