Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
1/5 Game 1
Honda Tomohiro finished 1st (+63.3pt). The game was decided in South 3: Honda Tomohiro ron 18,000 from Kayamori Sayaka, which moved Honda Tomohiro's expected points by +54.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 5,200 from Honda Tomohiro | 24% | 24% | 26% | 26% | -2.0 | +18.3 | -13.8 | -2.4 |
| East 2 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 12,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 22% | 37% | 17% | 23% | +1.0 | +28.5 | -3.1 | -26.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 1,100 | 19% | 61% | 12% | 8% | -4.6 | 0.0 | -0.2 | +4.8 |
| East 3 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 2,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 15% | 64% | 11% | 10% | +2.1 | +9.9 | -11.5 | -0.5 |
| East 4 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 12,000 | 14% | 75% | 4% | 7% | -9.4 | -6.9 | +33.7 | -17.4 |
| South 1 | Draw | 10% | 69% | 18% | 4% | -6.6 | +6.8 | +3.4 | -3.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 3,900 | 3% | 79% | 17% | 2% | -3.5 | +8.4 | -4.2 | -0.7 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 5,800 from Ooi Takaharu | 2% | 87% | 10% | 2% | +2.4 | +10.1 | -0.5 | -12.0 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 94% | 5% | 0% | -3.4 | -5.1 | +10.4 | -1.9 |
| South 3 | Honda Tomohiro ron 18,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 0% | 91% | 8% | 0% | -0.6 | -54.1 | +54.6 | 0.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 6% | 93% | 0% | -3.9 | -1.2 | -5.4 | +10.6 |
| South 4 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 5% | 94% | 1% | -17.3 | -6.4 | -4.4 | +28.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 4% | 92% | 4% | -1.7 | +0.9 | +3.9 | -3.1 |