Game · 2022-23 Regular Season

1/5 Game 2

Hagiwara Masato finished 1st (+60.2pt). The game was decided in East 2: Hagiwara Masato tsumo 18,000, which moved Hagiwara Masato's expected points by +45.6.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

Hands	Result	Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance	Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance	Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance	Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance	Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change	Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change	Tojyo Rio Expected pt change	Nikaido Aki Expected pt change
East 1	Nikaido Aki tsumo 6,400	26%	25%	25%	25%	-8.7	-4.0	-5.3	+18.0
East 2	Hagiwara Masato tsumo 18,000	19%	22%	20%	38%	-16.4	+45.6	-13.7	-15.4
East 2, 1 honba	Tojyo Rio ron 12,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro	8%	60%	11%	21%	-25.9	-4.9	+32.4	-1.6
East 3	Draw	3%	52%	27%	19%	-1.2	-5.0	+2.5	+3.7
East 3, 1 honba	Tojyo Rio tsumo 7,800	3%	45%	30%	22%	-5.1	-7.6	+19.8	-7.2
East 3, 2 honba	Tojyo Rio ron 2,000 from Nikaido Aki	2%	35%	48%	16%	+0.1	-0.8	+6.3	-5.5
East 3, 3 honba	Hagiwara Masato ron 8,000 from Tojyo Rio	2%	32%	54%	13%	-0.5	+25.6	-25.2	+0.1
East 4	Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 2,600 from Hagiwara Masato	1%	64%	24%	11%	+4.9	-5.4	+3.3	-2.8
South 1	Nikaido Aki tsumo 5,200	2%	60%	29%	10%	-7.9	-2.6	-2.6	+13.1
South 2	Draw	0%	57%	27%	16%	-0.2	+3.3	-0.7	-2.5
South 3, 1 honba	Tojyo Rio ron 12,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro	0%	65%	22%	13%	-12.4	-14.4	+32.2	-5.5
South 3, 2 honba	Tojyo Rio ron 2,900 from Nikaido Aki	0%	31%	62%	7%	-0.1	-4.3	+9.2	-4.8
South 3, 3 honba	Nikaido Aki ron 5,200 from Tojyo Rio	0%	21%	75%	5%	0.0	+5.1	-13.7	+8.6
South 4	Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Tojyo Rio	0%	31%	59%	9%	+8.3	+29.8	-30.0	-8.1

All 2022-23 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)