Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
1/6 Game 1
Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+66.2pt). The game was decided in East 3: Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 12,000, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +36.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kei Nakabayashi 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Kei Nakabayashi Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 25% | 27% | 26% | +9.8 | -1.0 | -5.7 | -3.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 29% | 24% | 23% | 24% | +5.1 | -1.0 | -3.1 | -1.0 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Kei Nakabayashi ron 1,300 from Taro Suzuki | 34% | 23% | 21% | 22% | -7.5 | +8.3 | -0.9 | +0.1 |
| East 2 | Kei Nakabayashi ron 3,900 from Kazunori Takizawa | 27% | 29% | 20% | 24% | -1.5 | +9.5 | -7.9 | -0.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 36% | 16% | 23% | -1.6 | +2.1 | -4.8 | +4.3 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 3,900 from Taro Suzuki | 25% | 36% | 13% | 26% | -13.2 | -1.3 | +13.7 | +0.8 |
| East 3 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 12,000 | 17% | 37% | 21% | 26% | -10.9 | -11.2 | +36.2 | -14.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kei Nakabayashi ron 1,300 from Taro Suzuki | 11% | 24% | 49% | 16% | -3.8 | +4.2 | +1.6 | -2.1 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 8% | 26% | 51% | 15% | -2.3 | +1.4 | -5.1 | +6.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 8% | 29% | 45% | 18% | -1.3 | +3.0 | +2.7 | -4.4 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 12,000 from Kei Nakabayashi | 8% | 31% | 48% | 13% | -0.9 | -37.0 | +35.4 | +2.4 |
| South 2 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki | 1% | 3% | 91% | 5% | -17.8 | +2.2 | +10.8 | +4.8 |
| South 3 | Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 0% | 0% | 97% | 2% | +12.2 | -4.6 | -9.5 | +1.9 |
| South 4 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 96% | 3% | +39.3 | -19.8 | 0.0 | -19.5 |