Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2022-23 Regular Season

1/6 Game 2

Shingo Hori finished 1st (+80.2pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Shingo Hori ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda, which moved Shingo Hori's expected points by +24.4.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 2South 2End● Shingo Hori● Hisato Sasaki● Yu Suzuki● Ken Sonoda0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4End● Shingo● Hisato● Yu● Ken
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultShingo Hori
1st-place chance
Hisato Sasaki
1st-place chance
Yu Suzuki
1st-place chance
Ken Sonoda
1st-place chance
Shingo Hori
Expected pt change
Hisato Sasaki
Expected pt change
Yu Suzuki
Expected pt change
Ken Sonoda
Expected pt change
East 1Shingo Hori ron 5,800 from Hisato Sasaki26%25%25%24%+15.3-17.4+1.1+1.0
East 1, 1 honbaShingo Hori ron 7,700 from Hisato Sasaki36%14%25%25%+20.2-17.5-1.7-1.0
East 1, 2 honbaYu Suzuki ron 1,300 from Shingo Hori54%7%19%20%-5.8-0.4+4.8+1.4
East 2Yu Suzuki ron 3,900 from Hisato Sasaki48%7%23%23%+2.1-11.8+11.1-1.3
East 3Exhaustive draw49%3%29%20%-2.9-1.9-2.5+7.3
East 4, 1 honbaShingo Hori ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda46%3%28%24%+24.4+1.1-0.5-25.0
South 1Hisato Sasaki tsumo 8,00074%2%19%6%-4.7+13.0-3.5-4.8
South 2Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,00074%3%17%6%-1.1-14.5-8.1+23.7
South 3Shingo Hori tsumo 12,00075%0%12%13%+22.3-3.6-16.2-2.5
South 4Shingo Hori tsumo 8,00097%0%0%3%+9.1-3.0-6.10.0

All 2022-23 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)