Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2022-23 Regular Season

1/6 Game 2

Hori Shingo finished 1st (+80.2pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Hori Shingo ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken, which moved Hori Shingo's expected points by +23.3.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 2South 2End● Hori Shingo● Sasaki Hisato● Suzuki Yu● Sonoda Ken0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4End● Hori● Sasaki● Suzuki● Sonoda
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultHori Shingo
1st-place chance
Sasaki Hisato
1st-place chance
Suzuki Yu
1st-place chance
Sonoda Ken
1st-place chance
Hori Shingo
Expected pt change
Sasaki Hisato
Expected pt change
Suzuki Yu
Expected pt change
Sonoda Ken
Expected pt change
East 1Hori Shingo ron 5,800 from Sasaki Hisato25%24%25%26%+18.7-16.9-1.7-0.1
East 1, 1 honbaHori Shingo ron 7,700 from Sasaki Hisato38%14%24%24%+16.4-18.0+2.5-1.0
East 1, 2 honbaSuzuki Yu ron 1,300 from Hori Shingo51%8%21%21%-4.5+0.2+3.0+1.3
East 2Suzuki Yu ron 3,900 from Sasaki Hisato47%7%24%21%+1.1-13.1+12.8-0.8
East 3Draw47%3%30%19%+0.7-1.9-7.1+8.3
East 4, 1 honbaHori Shingo ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken49%3%25%23%+23.30.0+1.5-24.8
South 1Sasaki Hisato tsumo 8,00075%2%17%6%-5.9+14.3-2.8-5.7
South 2Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,00075%4%16%5%-1.3-14.7-7.8+23.8
South 3Hori Shingo tsumo 12,00075%0%13%12%+21.9-3.0-16.6-2.3
South 4Hori Shingo tsumo 8,00097%0%0%3%+9.3-3.5-6.0+0.2

All 2022-23 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)