Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
1/9 Game 1
Matsugase Takaya finished 1st (+62.8pt). The game was decided in East 4, 1 honba: Matsugase Takaya tsumo 12,000, which moved Matsugase Takaya's expected points by +34.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Maruyama Kanako 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Maruyama Kanako Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Matsugase Takaya ron 3,900 from Maruyama Kanako | 26% | 23% | 25% | 26% | -2.7 | +1.0 | -9.8 | +11.6 |
| East 2 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 1,500 | 22% | 25% | 19% | 35% | -1.1 | +2.4 | -1.3 | 0.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Tojyo Rio ron 8,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 22% | 26% | 18% | 34% | +25.9 | -24.6 | +0.2 | -1.5 |
| East 3 | Tojyo Rio tsumo 4,000 | 42% | 10% | 17% | 31% | +17.0 | -2.2 | -8.5 | -6.3 |
| East 4 | Draw | 60% | 9% | 9% | 22% | -4.0 | -4.0 | +5.2 | +2.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 12,000 | 56% | 7% | 12% | 25% | -16.7 | -7.6 | -10.6 | +34.9 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 12,000 | 31% | 5% | 6% | 59% | -12.4 | -8.3 | -5.1 | +25.7 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Mizuhara Akina ron 8,000 from Matsugase Takaya | 11% | 2% | 3% | 85% | +1.1 | +21.7 | -4.8 | -18.1 |
| South 1 | Matsugase Takaya ron 3,900 from Tojyo Rio | 19% | 6% | 5% | 70% | -10.9 | -1.3 | -0.4 | +12.7 |
| South 2 | Tojyo Rio ron 12,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 6% | 4% | 3% | 88% | +26.0 | -27.2 | +4.3 | -3.2 |
| South 3 | Mizuhara Akina ron 8,000 from Tojyo Rio | 19% | 0% | 2% | 79% | -14.4 | +15.9 | -9.2 | +7.6 |
| South 4 | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 0% | 0% | 98% | -1.6 | +16.7 | -10.9 | -4.1 |