Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
1/10 Game 1
Namba Shibukawa finished 1st (+60.8pt). The game was decided in East 2: Namba Shibukawa ron 12,000 from Arisa Date, which moved Namba Shibukawa's expected points by +33.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Namba Shibukawa 1st-place chance | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Namba Shibukawa Expected pt change | Arisa Date Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 26% | 24% | 24% | +7.3 | -4.4 | -2.3 | -0.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Aiko Hinata ron 2,000 from Namba Shibukawa | 31% | 22% | 23% | 24% | -9.6 | +0.1 | +0.5 | +9.1 |
| East 2 | Namba Shibukawa ron 12,000 from Arisa Date | 23% | 23% | 24% | 30% | +33.4 | -31.3 | -1.8 | -0.3 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 49% | 6% | 19% | 26% | +2.0 | +0.7 | +2.8 | -5.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Namba Shibukawa ron 2,000 from Arisa Date | 50% | 7% | 21% | 22% | +10.0 | -6.4 | -1.7 | -1.8 |
| East 4 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 18,000 | 63% | 4% | 15% | 19% | -20.2 | -9.7 | -17.6 | +47.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 6,400 from Aiko Hinata | 31% | 2% | 6% | 61% | +2.4 | -4.1 | +17.8 | -16.1 |
| South 1 | Arisa Date tsumo 8,000 | 38% | 2% | 15% | 46% | -8.2 | +15.3 | -5.2 | -1.8 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 33% | 5% | 14% | 48% | +3.3 | +3.7 | -1.7 | -5.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 5,200 from Arisa Date | 38% | 6% | 15% | 41% | +0.8 | -16.9 | +15.1 | +0.9 |
| South 3 | Namba Shibukawa ron 8,000 from Aiko Hinata | 37% | 0% | 20% | 42% | +32.0 | -0.4 | +0.3 | -31.9 |
| South 4 | Aiko Hinata ron 7,700 from Arisa Date | 86% | 0% | 5% | 9% | -2.8 | -8.1 | -11.3 | +22.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Namba Shibukawa ron 1,000 from Aiko Hinata | 79% | 0% | 4% | 17% | +10.3 | +0.3 | -5.7 | -4.8 |