Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
1/10 Game 1
Shibukawa Namba finished 1st (+60.8pt). The game was decided in South 3: Shibukawa Namba ron 8,000 from Hinata Aiko, which moved Shibukawa Namba's expected points by +32.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 23% | 27% | 26% | 24% | +7.3 | -3.3 | -3.8 | -0.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Hinata Aiko ron 2,000 from Shibukawa Namba | 28% | 24% | 23% | 25% | -7.4 | -0.8 | -1.5 | +9.6 |
| East 2 | Shibukawa Namba ron 12,000 from Date Arisa | 22% | 24% | 22% | 32% | +32.8 | -33.3 | +1.6 | -1.2 |
| East 3 | Draw | 48% | 5% | 20% | 27% | -0.4 | +3.5 | +4.3 | -7.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Shibukawa Namba ron 2,000 from Date Arisa | 48% | 8% | 22% | 23% | +14.5 | -7.5 | -5.4 | -1.6 |
| East 4 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 18,000 | 65% | 4% | 14% | 17% | -21.9 | -9.1 | -17.1 | +48.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 6,400 from Hinata Aiko | 31% | 2% | 6% | 62% | +2.8 | -4.5 | +20.3 | -18.6 |
| South 1 | Date Arisa tsumo 8,000 | 39% | 2% | 17% | 43% | -7.5 | +13.9 | -6.0 | -0.4 |
| South 2 | Draw | 34% | 5% | 15% | 46% | +1.1 | +5.9 | -1.6 | -5.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 5,200 from Date Arisa | 36% | 7% | 16% | 42% | +1.3 | -18.1 | +15.2 | +1.5 |
| South 3 | Shibukawa Namba ron 8,000 from Hinata Aiko | 37% | 1% | 22% | 41% | +32.8 | -0.4 | -1.4 | -31.1 |
| South 4 | Hinata Aiko ron 7,700 from Date Arisa | 86% | 0% | 4% | 10% | -3.2 | -8.3 | -10.4 | +21.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Shibukawa Namba ron 1,000 from Hinata Aiko | 79% | 0% | 4% | 17% | +10.7 | +0.3 | -6.1 | -4.9 |