Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2022-23 Regular Season

1/10 Game 2

Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+54.6pt). The game was decided in South 4, 3 honba: Kazunori Takizawa ron 7,700 from Masato Hagiwara, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +42.8.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1South 3End● Kazunori Takizawa● Masato Hagiwara● Takaharu Ooi● Namba Shibukawa0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 2End● Kazunori● Masato● Takaharu● Namba
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultMasato Hagiwara
1st-place chance
Takaharu Ooi
1st-place chance
Namba Shibukawa
1st-place chance
Kazunori Takizawa
1st-place chance
Masato Hagiwara
Expected pt change
Takaharu Ooi
Expected pt change
Namba Shibukawa
Expected pt change
Kazunori Takizawa
Expected pt change
East 1Takaharu Ooi ron 1,300 from Masato Hagiwara25%24%24%27%-7.1+7.1+2.9-2.9
East 2Masato Hagiwara tsumo 8,00021%29%27%24%+26.8-13.3-8.1-5.4
East 3Kazunori Takizawa ron 2,000 from Namba Shibukawa42%19%20%19%-0.2+1.3-10.2+9.1
East 4Takaharu Ooi tsumo 4,00041%19%14%26%-1.9+12.5-3.3-7.3
South 1Kazunori Takizawa ron 8,000 from Namba Shibukawa38%29%13%21%-2.6-2.5-22.8+27.9
South 2Exhaustive draw33%23%4%40%-5.2+10.1-1.2-3.8
South 2, 1 honbaMasato Hagiwara tsumo 8,00028%31%4%37%+33.9-17.7-4.8-11.4
South 3Namba Shibukawa ron 12,000 from Takaharu Ooi69%10%2%19%+1.5-34.1+27.4+5.2
South 3, 1 honbaExhaustive draw72%1%6%21%-1.8-3.4+6.8-1.6
South 3, 2 honbaExhaustive draw70%1%9%21%+3.2+1.8-7.8+2.8
South 4, 3 honbaKazunori Takizawa ron 7,700 from Masato Hagiwara78%0%2%19%-41.6-1.10.0+42.8
South 4, 4 honbaTakaharu Ooi tsumo 8,0007%0%1%92%-0.9+24.2-20.7-2.6

All 2022-23 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)