Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
1/10 Game 2
Takizawa Kazunori finished 1st (+54.6pt). The game was decided in South 4, 3 honba: Takizawa Kazunori ron 7,700 from Hagiwara Masato, which moved Takizawa Kazunori's expected points by +42.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ooi Takaharu ron 1,300 from Hagiwara Masato | 26% | 25% | 24% | 25% | -5.9 | +6.4 | +3.2 | -3.7 |
| East 2 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 8,000 | 22% | 29% | 27% | 22% | +23.0 | -13.4 | -7.4 | -2.2 |
| East 3 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 2,000 from Shibukawa Namba | 40% | 19% | 20% | 21% | +2.4 | +0.6 | -10.0 | +7.1 |
| East 4 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 4,000 | 42% | 18% | 15% | 25% | -1.8 | +13.1 | -3.7 | -7.6 |
| South 1 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 8,000 from Shibukawa Namba | 40% | 27% | 13% | 20% | -3.6 | -2.6 | -22.6 | +28.9 |
| South 2 | Draw | 33% | 23% | 4% | 40% | -3.7 | +9.0 | -2.8 | -2.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 8,000 | 29% | 30% | 4% | 38% | +31.5 | -16.0 | -3.7 | -11.8 |
| South 3 | Shibukawa Namba ron 12,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 68% | 10% | 2% | 19% | +2.3 | -34.9 | +28.5 | +4.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 72% | 1% | 7% | 20% | -1.7 | -2.9 | +6.1 | -1.5 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Draw | 69% | 1% | 10% | 21% | +3.1 | +2.7 | -9.3 | +3.5 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Takizawa Kazunori ron 7,700 from Hagiwara Masato | 78% | 0% | 2% | 19% | -41.6 | -1.6 | +1.0 | +42.2 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 8,000 | 6% | 0% | 2% | 92% | -0.9 | +24.0 | -21.1 | -1.9 |