Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
1/12 Game 2
Nikaido Aki finished 1st (+66.4pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Nikaido Aki tsumo 18,000, which moved Nikaido Aki's expected points by +42.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 3,900 | 24% | 26% | 25% | 25% | +13.0 | -4.8 | -4.5 | -3.7 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 18,000 | 34% | 22% | 22% | 23% | +42.5 | -14.1 | -13.7 | -14.7 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 2,900 from Sasaki Hisato | 70% | 10% | 10% | 10% | +5.7 | +1.6 | -8.3 | +0.9 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 12,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 75% | 9% | 7% | 9% | +19.2 | -23.9 | +3.2 | +1.6 |
| East 1, 4 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 4,000 | 90% | 2% | 4% | 5% | -3.6 | -6.7 | +11.6 | -1.2 |
| East 2 | Draw | 87% | 2% | 5% | 5% | -1.2 | +5.1 | -0.7 | -3.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Nikaido Aki | 88% | 2% | 7% | 4% | -12.0 | -4.6 | +17.6 | -1.0 |
| East 3 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 12,000 | 78% | 1% | 14% | 6% | -2.1 | +28.9 | -17.0 | -9.8 |
| East 4 | Draw | 81% | 6% | 7% | 6% | -2.3 | -2.2 | +3.2 | +1.3 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 12,000 | 78% | 7% | 10% | 6% | -6.8 | -12.2 | -13.7 | +32.8 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Draw | 71% | 5% | 6% | 18% | -0.7 | +4.9 | -0.4 | -3.8 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Draw | 73% | 5% | 7% | 15% | -1.2 | +2.9 | +1.0 | -2.7 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 8,000 | 74% | 6% | 7% | 13% | -10.6 | -18.1 | -8.1 | +36.8 |
| South 3 | Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 54% | 0% | 4% | 42% | +21.8 | +9.3 | -21.3 | -9.8 |
| South 4 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 5,800 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 85% | 0% | 0% | 15% | -3.3 | -13.7 | +8.0 | +9.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 77% | 0% | 0% | 23% | +9.4 | -7.6 | +16.8 | -18.6 |