Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
1/13 Game 1
Honda Tomohiro finished 1st (+54.6pt). The game was decided in South 2: Honda Tomohiro tsumo 8,000, which moved Honda Tomohiro's expected points by +38.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 8,000 | 28% | 25% | 23% | 24% | -16.4 | -8.2 | +25.1 | -0.5 |
| East 2 | Draw | 16% | 19% | 42% | 24% | -1.5 | +6.6 | -0.1 | -5.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000 | 15% | 23% | 42% | 20% | -9.8 | +32.4 | -14.4 | -8.3 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken | 10% | 48% | 26% | 15% | -0.4 | -22.8 | +26.9 | -3.7 |
| East 3 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 8,000 | 10% | 26% | 53% | 12% | -5.4 | +25.6 | -15.7 | -4.5 |
| East 4 | Honda Tomohiro ron 12,000 from Sonoda Ken | 6% | 50% | 34% | 10% | +1.3 | -35.2 | +2.7 | +31.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 1,500 | 9% | 22% | 41% | 29% | -2.0 | -3.0 | -1.6 | +6.6 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 4,000 | 8% | 20% | 38% | 34% | +9.0 | -1.8 | +1.1 | -8.3 |
| South 1 | Sonoda Ken ron 2,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 11% | 19% | 42% | 27% | -5.1 | +6.1 | +2.5 | -3.5 |
| South 2 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 8,000 | 8% | 22% | 45% | 25% | -8.4 | -19.1 | -11.0 | +38.5 |
| South 3 | Suzuki Yu ron 2,000 from Sonoda Ken | 3% | 5% | 25% | 67% | +0.8 | -6.2 | +6.0 | -0.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 2,000 | 3% | 3% | 29% | 65% | -4.7 | -0.7 | -7.7 | +13.2 |
| South 4 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 6,400 | 1% | 1% | 10% | 89% | -8.1 | +11.0 | -3.2 | +0.3 |