Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
1/13 Game 2
Go Kobayashi finished 1st (+64.0pt). The game was decided in East 3: Go Kobayashi tsumo 12,000, which moved Go Kobayashi's expected points by +33.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -12.3 | -6.5 | +23.6 | -4.9 |
| East 2 | Go Kobayashi ron 2,000 from Sho Shiratori | 15% | 21% | 42% | 22% | +0.7 | -5.5 | -2.1 | +6.9 |
| East 3 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 12,000 | 17% | 16% | 41% | 26% | -7.1 | -5.6 | -20.5 | +33.3 |
| East 4 | Sho Shiratori ron 3,900 from Jun Murakami | 12% | 13% | 20% | 56% | -11.2 | -1.4 | +13.1 | -0.6 |
| South 1 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 8,000 | 7% | 9% | 29% | 54% | -13.9 | -3.9 | -7.0 | +24.9 |
| South 2 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 4% | 11% | 84% | -2.2 | -12.6 | -2.1 | +16.9 |
| South 3 | Jun Murakami ron 8,000 from Go Kobayashi | 0% | 0% | 3% | 97% | +17.3 | -8.5 | -2.6 | -6.2 |
| South 4 | Jun Murakami tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +35.2 | -8.4 | -19.7 | -7.2 |