Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
1/16 Game 1
Hinata Aiko finished 1st (+68.2pt). The game was decided in East 1: Hinata Aiko tsumo 16,000, which moved Hinata Aiko's expected points by +42.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 16,000 | 26% | 26% | 24% | 24% | -22.6 | -10.7 | -9.4 | +42.7 |
| East 2 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 4,000 | 9% | 16% | 15% | 60% | +0.2 | -7.9 | -4.9 | +12.7 |
| East 3 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 16,000 | 7% | 9% | 10% | 74% | +37.7 | -9.4 | -20.3 | -8.0 |
| East 4 | Hinata Aiko ron 4,800 from Takamiya Mari | 27% | 5% | 4% | 64% | -0.4 | -0.1 | -8.4 | +8.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 2,000 | 21% | 5% | 2% | 73% | -1.0 | +7.7 | -5.4 | -1.4 |
| South 1 | Suzuki Yu tsumo 1,500 | 21% | 5% | 1% | 73% | +3.8 | -0.9 | -1.2 | -1.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 7,700 from Takamiya Mari | 22% | 5% | 1% | 71% | +17.3 | +0.8 | -11.2 | -6.8 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 2,900 from Takamiya Mari | 40% | 4% | 1% | 55% | +10.0 | -0.9 | -5.8 | -3.3 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Hinata Aiko ron 3,900 from Setokuma Naoki | 51% | 3% | 0% | 46% | -5.1 | -6.8 | 0.0 | +11.9 |
| South 2 | Hinata Aiko ron 1,300 from Suzuki Yu | 38% | 1% | 0% | 60% | -5.1 | -1.4 | +0.2 | +6.3 |
| South 3 | Setokuma Naoki ron 1,600 from Hinata Aiko | 28% | 0% | 0% | 72% | -1.1 | +3.1 | -2.6 | +0.6 |
| South 4 | Draw | 23% | 0% | 0% | 77% | -7.7 | -1.0 | +2.1 | +6.6 |