Game · 2022-23 Regular Season

1/17 Game 1

Kotaro Uchikawa finished 1st (+78.5pt). The game was decided in South 3: Kotaro Uchikawa ron 18,000 from Taro Suzuki, which moved Kotaro Uchikawa's expected points by +29.0.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

Hands	Result	Takaya Matsugase 1st-place chance	Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance	Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance	Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance	Takaya Matsugase Expected pt change	Taro Suzuki Expected pt change	Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change	Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change
East 1	Exhaustive draw	26%	25%	24%	25%	-6.0	-1.4	+6.1	+1.2
East 2, 1 honba	Takaya Matsugase ron 1,300 from Taro Suzuki	22%	24%	28%	26%	+10.3	-8.3	-4.6	+2.6
East 3	Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 6,000	29%	17%	24%	29%	-6.2	-7.1	+18.1	-4.8
East 3, 1 honba	Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 7,800	24%	13%	39%	24%	-7.2	-6.8	+23.3	-9.3
East 3, 2 honba	Taro Suzuki ron 3,200 from Takaya Matsugase	16%	9%	60%	16%	-10.1	+9.4	+0.9	-0.2
East 4	Takaya Matsugase tsumo 8,000	10%	11%	64%	15%	+22.3	-7.0	-1.7	-13.6
South 1	Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Yuumi Uotani	21%	9%	62%	8%	-4.6	+24.1	+2.7	-22.1
South 2	Taro Suzuki tsumo 1,500	15%	17%	65%	3%	-1.6	+6.9	-3.1	-2.2
South 2, 1 honba	Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 1,100	15%	22%	61%	3%	-2.4	-4.7	+8.1	-1.0
South 3	Kotaro Uchikawa ron 18,000 from Taro Suzuki	10%	14%	75%	2%	+5.3	-39.2	+29.0	+5.0
South 3, 1 honba	Exhaustive draw	1%	0%	98%	1%	-2.0	-3.4	+1.6	+3.8
South 3, 2 honba	Exhaustive draw	0%	0%	99%	1%	-1.6	-3.1	+0.8	+3.8
South 3, 3 honba	Takaya Matsugase ron 2,600 from Yuumi Uotani	0%	0%	99%	1%	+8.1	+3.4	-1.1	-10.4
South 4	Exhaustive draw	0%	0%	99%	1%	-1.0	-5.0	-0.5	+6.5
South 4, 1 honba	Taro Suzuki ron 2,000 from Takaya Matsugase	0%	0%	100%	0%	-0.8	+13.0	+0.5	-12.7

All 2022-23 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)