Game · 2022-23 Regular Season

1/17 Game 1

Uchikawa Kotaro finished 1st (+78.5pt). The game was decided in South 3: Uchikawa Kotaro ron 18,000 from Suzuki Taro, which moved Uchikawa Kotaro's expected points by +29.9.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

Hands	Result	Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance	Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance	Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance	Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance	Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change	Suzuki Taro Expected pt change	Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change	Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change
East 1	Draw	27%	24%	23%	26%	-7.4	-4.6	+9.1	+2.9
East 2, 1 honba	Matsugase Takaya ron 1,300 from Suzuki Taro	20%	20%	31%	29%	+10.9	-5.2	-4.4	-1.3
East 3	Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 6,000	27%	17%	27%	29%	-6.3	-6.3	+15.1	-2.5
East 3, 1 honba	Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 7,800	23%	14%	38%	25%	-8.0	-8.8	+25.7	-8.9
East 3, 2 honba	Suzuki Taro ron 3,200 from Matsugase Takaya	14%	8%	61%	17%	-10.4	+12.2	-0.6	-1.2
East 4	Matsugase Takaya tsumo 8,000	10%	12%	63%	15%	+22.4	-6.4	-2.4	-13.6
South 1	Suzuki Taro ron 8,000 from Uotani Yuumi	19%	11%	61%	9%	-2.2	+22.9	+1.4	-22.0
South 2	Suzuki Taro tsumo 1,500	16%	19%	63%	3%	-2.2	+8.0	-3.0	-2.8
South 2, 1 honba	Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 1,100	15%	25%	58%	2%	-2.1	-6.1	+9.0	-0.8
South 3	Uchikawa Kotaro ron 18,000 from Suzuki Taro	11%	15%	72%	2%	+5.3	-39.5	+29.9	+4.3
South 3, 1 honba	Draw	1%	0%	99%	1%	-2.2	-3.8	+1.7	+4.3
South 3, 2 honba	Draw	0%	0%	99%	0%	-2.6	-2.6	+0.6	+4.6
South 3, 3 honba	Matsugase Takaya ron 2,600 from Uotani Yuumi	0%	0%	99%	1%	+8.9	+3.2	-1.0	-11.1
South 4	Draw	0%	0%	100%	0%	-1.5	-4.6	-0.3	+6.3
South 4, 1 honba	Suzuki Taro ron 2,000 from Matsugase Takaya	0%	0%	100%	0%	-0.6	+12.7	+0.1	-12.3

All 2022-23 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)