Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
1/17 Game 2
Rio Tojyo finished 1st (+67.2pt). The game was decided in East 3: Rio Tojyo tsumo 18,000, which moved Rio Tojyo's expected points by +49.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Namba Shibukawa 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Namba Shibukawa Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ken Sonoda ron 1,000 from Namba Shibukawa | 25% | 23% | 25% | 27% | -7.0 | +2.8 | -0.1 | +4.2 |
| East 2 | Namba Shibukawa ron 8,000 from Rio Tojyo | 20% | 26% | 25% | 29% | +23.6 | -3.4 | -21.6 | +1.4 |
| East 3 | Rio Tojyo tsumo 18,000 | 36% | 21% | 13% | 29% | -15.9 | -16.4 | +49.3 | -17.0 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Rio Tojyo tsumo 18,000 | 22% | 13% | 47% | 18% | -17.2 | -12.2 | +41.3 | -11.9 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 5% | 3% | 87% | 5% | -2.6 | -0.5 | -1.4 | +4.5 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Rio Tojyo ron 1,300 from Namba Shibukawa | 4% | 3% | 88% | 6% | -5.9 | +1.8 | +6.5 | -2.4 |
| South 1 | Namba Shibukawa tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 2% | 94% | 2% | +27.9 | -11.1 | -5.1 | -11.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 7% | 1% | 90% | 2% | -3.8 | +4.3 | +1.9 | -2.4 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Namba Shibukawa ron 5,200 from Ken Sonoda | 2% | 2% | 94% | 2% | +14.9 | -1.4 | -1.0 | -12.5 |
| South 3 | Kenji Katsumata ron 8,000 from Rio Tojyo | 5% | 0% | 94% | 0% | +0.2 | +15.2 | -10.8 | -4.6 |
| South 4 | Rio Tojyo tsumo 2,700 | 9% | 0% | 91% | 1% | -1.8 | +0.5 | +8.0 | -6.7 |