Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Game · 2022-23 Regular Season

1/17 Game 2

Tojyo Rio finished 1st (+67.2pt). The game was decided in East 3: Tojyo Rio tsumo 18,000, which moved Tojyo Rio's expected points by +47.2.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 1End● Tojyo Rio● Shibukawa Namba● Katsumata Kenji● Sonoda Ken0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Tojyo● Shibukawa● Katsumata● Sonoda
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultShibukawa Namba
1st-place chance
Katsumata Kenji
1st-place chance
Tojyo Rio
1st-place chance
Sonoda Ken
1st-place chance
Shibukawa Namba
Expected pt change
Katsumata Kenji
Expected pt change
Tojyo Rio
Expected pt change
Sonoda Ken
Expected pt change
East 1Sonoda Ken ron 1,000 from Shibukawa Namba26%24%24%26%-7.8+3.6-1.2+5.4
East 2Shibukawa Namba ron 8,000 from Tojyo Rio21%27%23%30%+22.9-5.5-19.0+1.5
East 3Tojyo Rio tsumo 18,00036%21%14%29%-15.9-15.0+47.2-16.2
East 3, 1 honbaTojyo Rio tsumo 18,00023%12%45%19%-17.1-11.3+42.5-14.1
East 3, 2 honbaDraw5%3%86%5%-2.7-2.1-1.2+6.0
East 4, 3 honbaTojyo Rio ron 1,300 from Shibukawa Namba5%2%87%6%-7.1+0.4+7.7-1.0
South 1Shibukawa Namba tsumo 12,0002%1%94%3%+29.1-8.8-6.7-13.6
South 1, 1 honbaDraw8%1%88%2%-2.8+2.9+1.6-1.7
South 2, 2 honbaShibukawa Namba ron 5,200 from Sonoda Ken3%1%94%2%+12.2-0.2+0.6-12.7
South 3Katsumata Kenji ron 8,000 from Tojyo Rio4%0%95%1%+2.4+15.1-12.4-5.1
South 4Tojyo Rio tsumo 2,70010%0%89%1%-3.1+0.6+8.9-6.3

All 2022-23 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)