Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
1/19 Game 2
Nikaido Rumi finished 1st (+63.3pt). The game was decided in East 3: Nikaido Rumi tsumo 18,000, which moved Nikaido Rumi's expected points by +38.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 27% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -3.6 | +1.0 | +1.0 | +1.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 22% | 25% | 26% | 27% | -3.3 | +4.9 | -2.2 | +0.5 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Nikaido Rumi ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo | 21% | 29% | 24% | 27% | +1.1 | -5.5 | +27.6 | -23.2 |
| East 3 | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 18,000 | 20% | 22% | 45% | 13% | -15.7 | -13.4 | +38.5 | -9.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 7,800 | 5% | 7% | 83% | 6% | -3.3 | -4.8 | +13.9 | -5.8 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Honda Tomohiro ron 8,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 3% | 3% | 93% | 2% | +20.8 | -4.1 | -14.5 | -2.3 |
| East 4 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 1,100 | 10% | 4% | 83% | 3% | +4.5 | -3.9 | +2.1 | -2.6 |
| South 1 | Nikaido Rumi ron 8,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 9% | 3% | 87% | 2% | -16.8 | +3.4 | +12.7 | +0.7 |
| South 2 | Honda Tomohiro ron 1,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 1% | 1% | 98% | 1% | +5.9 | -5.6 | +1.0 | -1.3 |
| South 3 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 16,000 from Nikaido Rumi | 0% | 0% | 99% | 0% | -13.1 | +38.8 | -19.8 | -6.0 |
| South 4 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 8,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 0% | 5% | 93% | 2% | -7.4 | +10.2 | +3.6 | -6.5 |