Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
1/19 Game 2
Rumi Nikaido finished 1st (+63.3pt). The game was decided in East 3: Rumi Nikaido tsumo 18,000, which moved Rumi Nikaido's expected points by +39.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Rumi Nikaido 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Rumi Nikaido Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 23% | 25% | 26% | -3.3 | +2.3 | +1.2 | -0.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 23% | 26% | 26% | 26% | -1.4 | +2.1 | -3.9 | +3.1 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Rumi Nikaido ron 8,000 from Shingo Hori | 23% | 25% | 24% | 28% | -2.3 | -2.4 | +28.4 | -23.7 |
| East 3 | Rumi Nikaido tsumo 18,000 | 20% | 21% | 45% | 15% | -12.1 | -14.3 | +39.5 | -13.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Rumi Nikaido tsumo 7,800 | 6% | 6% | 84% | 4% | -5.0 | -4.1 | +12.9 | -3.9 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 8,000 from Rumi Nikaido | 3% | 3% | 93% | 2% | +20.0 | -4.1 | -14.7 | -1.1 |
| East 4 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 1,100 | 9% | 4% | 83% | 4% | +5.8 | -3.1 | +1.6 | -4.4 |
| South 1 | Rumi Nikaido ron 8,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 10% | 3% | 85% | 2% | -18.2 | +2.9 | +13.8 | +1.5 |
| South 2 | Tomohiro Honda ron 1,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 1% | 1% | 98% | 1% | +5.0 | -4.9 | +0.7 | -0.8 |
| South 3 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 16,000 from Rumi Nikaido | 0% | 0% | 99% | 0% | -12.3 | +37.3 | -18.9 | -6.2 |
| South 4 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 8,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 0% | 4% | 94% | 2% | -7.2 | +10.8 | +3.0 | -6.7 |