Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
1/20 Game 1
Mizuhara Akina finished 1st (+59.1pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Mizuhara Akina tsumo 8,000, which moved Mizuhara Akina's expected points by +48.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 3,900 | 25% | 23% | 26% | 26% | +13.4 | -2.9 | -5.9 | -4.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 35% | 22% | 21% | 23% | -5.0 | +8.1 | -0.6 | -2.6 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Draw | 29% | 28% | 21% | 22% | -3.0 | -0.4 | +4.8 | -1.5 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 2,000 from Mizuhara Akina | 28% | 27% | 24% | 22% | +0.4 | -10.0 | +12.4 | -2.8 |
| East 3 | Mizuhara Akina ron 8,000 from Shiratori Sho | 28% | 19% | 33% | 20% | -1.8 | +28.3 | -27.4 | +0.9 |
| East 4 | Draw | 24% | 41% | 14% | 21% | -1.4 | -2.1 | -1.1 | +4.6 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 5,200 | 24% | 40% | 14% | 22% | +20.6 | -3.9 | -6.1 | -10.6 |
| South 1 | Mizuhara Akina ron 3,900 from Shiratori Sho | 41% | 35% | 10% | 14% | +0.1 | +10.8 | -10.8 | 0.0 |
| South 2 | Draw | 39% | 44% | 5% | 12% | -5.7 | +7.8 | -1.1 | -1.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 30% | 53% | 5% | 11% | -0.7 | +0.5 | +3.4 | -3.2 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,000 from Shiratori Sho | 29% | 55% | 6% | 10% | +0.6 | +4.4 | -14.9 | +9.9 |
| South 4 | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 65% | 0% | 11% | -21.6 | -27.6 | -6.2 | +55.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Mizuhara Akina tsumo 8,000 | 10% | 14% | 0% | 76% | -11.1 | +48.0 | -1.9 | -35.0 |