Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
1/20 Game 2
Kobayashi Go finished 1st (+48.4pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Kobayashi Go tsumo 3,000, which moved Kobayashi Go's expected points by +16.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,900 from Takizawa Kazunori | 24% | 26% | 24% | 27% | +8.8 | -8.6 | +1.1 | -1.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 5,200 | 30% | 20% | 24% | 25% | -9.8 | +16.5 | -5.3 | -1.4 |
| East 2 | Kobayashi Go ron 3,900 from Takizawa Kazunori | 24% | 31% | 22% | 23% | +2.9 | -14.6 | -1.8 | +13.5 |
| East 3 | Kobayashi Go ron 2,000 from Murakami Jun | 25% | 21% | 20% | 35% | -0.1 | +0.8 | -6.9 | +6.2 |
| East 4 | Murakami Jun tsumo 8,000 | 25% | 20% | 15% | 40% | -10.9 | -6.5 | +28.6 | -11.1 |
| South 1 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 4,000 | 18% | 17% | 36% | 30% | -7.8 | -3.2 | -2.6 | +13.5 |
| South 2 | Draw | 11% | 15% | 32% | 41% | -3.3 | +7.8 | -1.1 | -3.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 2,000 | 11% | 20% | 33% | 37% | +10.5 | -10.6 | -2.4 | +2.4 |
| South 3 | Draw | 17% | 13% | 28% | 42% | -10.1 | +10.8 | -2.4 | +1.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go tsumo 3,000 | 15% | 17% | 25% | 43% | -4.1 | -4.0 | -8.7 | +16.9 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 5,200 | 9% | 11% | 12% | 69% | +31.9 | -27.4 | -14.7 | +10.2 |