Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
1/20 Game 2
Go Kobayashi finished 1st (+48.4pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Go Kobayashi tsumo 3,000, which moved Go Kobayashi's expected points by +17.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,900 from Kazunori Takizawa | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | +7.5 | -6.3 | -1.1 | -0.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 5,200 | 31% | 20% | 23% | 25% | -8.9 | +14.7 | -3.5 | -2.3 |
| East 2 | Go Kobayashi ron 3,900 from Kazunori Takizawa | 24% | 30% | 22% | 24% | +2.1 | -13.6 | -1.1 | +12.6 |
| East 3 | Go Kobayashi ron 2,000 from Jun Murakami | 26% | 21% | 20% | 33% | +1.0 | +0.8 | -8.9 | +7.2 |
| East 4 | Jun Murakami tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 22% | 14% | 38% | -10.5 | -6.2 | +30.3 | -13.6 |
| South 1 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 4,000 | 19% | 17% | 37% | 28% | -11.4 | -2.8 | -1.9 | +16.2 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 11% | 15% | 33% | 41% | -1.4 | +8.0 | -4.8 | -1.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 2,000 | 11% | 21% | 29% | 40% | +10.3 | -11.4 | 0.0 | +1.1 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 16% | 13% | 29% | 42% | -8.7 | +10.1 | -2.9 | +1.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi tsumo 3,000 | 16% | 17% | 24% | 43% | -5.6 | -2.9 | -9.0 | +17.5 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 5,200 | 9% | 11% | 11% | 70% | +32.2 | -27.7 | -14.1 | +9.5 |