Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
1/23 Game 1
Kazunori Takizawa finished 1st (+54.6pt). The game was decided in South 4: Kazunori Takizawa ron 7,700 from Shingo Hori, which moved Kazunori Takizawa's expected points by +46.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takaya Matsugase 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Takaya Matsugase Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shingo Hori ron 8,000 from Takaya Matsugase | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | -22.9 | -1.0 | +25.6 | -1.7 |
| East 2 | Shingo Hori tsumo 2,000 | 10% | 22% | 44% | 24% | +0.2 | -3.8 | +4.4 | -0.7 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 10% | 18% | 48% | 23% | -1.3 | -0.9 | +6.1 | -3.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 4,000 | 10% | 17% | 55% | 18% | -4.3 | -4.5 | -9.3 | +18.1 |
| East 4 | Aiko Hinata tsumo 2,700 | 8% | 15% | 46% | 31% | -2.7 | +8.6 | +0.8 | -6.7 |
| South 1 | Shingo Hori tsumo 1,500 | 7% | 20% | 48% | 26% | -7.3 | -2.6 | +7.5 | +2.5 |
| South 2 | Takaya Matsugase tsumo 2,700 | 2% | 16% | 56% | 25% | +4.4 | -8.5 | +4.8 | -0.7 |
| South 3 | Aiko Hinata ron 5,200 from Shingo Hori | 3% | 8% | 66% | 23% | -5.8 | +27.1 | -13.9 | -7.4 |
| South 4 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 7,700 from Shingo Hori | 2% | 30% | 50% | 18% | +1.7 | -5.3 | -43.0 | +46.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 14% | 5% | 80% | -7.4 | +0.1 | -0.4 | +7.7 |