Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
1/23 Game 1
Takizawa Kazunori finished 1st (+54.6pt). The game was decided in South 4: Takizawa Kazunori ron 7,700 from Hori Shingo, which moved Takizawa Kazunori's expected points by +45.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hori Shingo ron 8,000 from Matsugase Takaya | 25% | 27% | 24% | 24% | -21.4 | -0.7 | +23.6 | -1.5 |
| East 2 | Hori Shingo tsumo 2,000 | 11% | 23% | 43% | 23% | -0.1 | -4.8 | +6.2 | -1.4 |
| East 3 | Draw | 11% | 18% | 50% | 21% | -2.2 | -3.1 | +5.9 | -0.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 4,000 | 11% | 15% | 54% | 20% | -2.0 | -4.2 | -7.9 | +14.1 |
| East 4 | Hinata Aiko tsumo 2,700 | 10% | 14% | 47% | 30% | -5.8 | +9.1 | +0.1 | -3.5 |
| South 1 | Hori Shingo tsumo 1,500 | 7% | 19% | 47% | 27% | -7.1 | -0.1 | +7.8 | -0.6 |
| South 2 | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 2,700 | 2% | 17% | 58% | 22% | +4.6 | -7.6 | +4.5 | -1.5 |
| South 3 | Hinata Aiko ron 5,200 from Hori Shingo | 3% | 11% | 66% | 21% | -5.0 | +23.6 | -15.0 | -3.7 |
| South 4 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 7,700 from Hori Shingo | 2% | 28% | 50% | 20% | +1.8 | -3.9 | -42.9 | +45.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 2% | 14% | 5% | 79% | -8.1 | -0.1 | +0.1 | +8.2 |