Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
1/23 Game 2
Kenji Katsumata finished 1st (+73.4pt). The game was decided in South 1, 2 honba: Kenji Katsumata tsumo 8,000, which moved Kenji Katsumata's expected points by +28.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -4.9 | +3.0 | -2.8 | +4.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 21% | 27% | 23% | 29% | -4.1 | +8.8 | -2.3 | -2.4 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 19% | 34% | 21% | 26% | +8.1 | -6.4 | -2.0 | +0.3 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 2,900 from Hisato Sasaki | 25% | 28% | 21% | 27% | -14.2 | 0.0 | +16.5 | -2.3 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 12,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 15% | 29% | 31% | 25% | -29.5 | -3.6 | +34.3 | -1.1 |
| East 3, 5 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 3,900 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 4% | 18% | 60% | 18% | +1.0 | +0.4 | +11.7 | -13.0 |
| East 3, 6 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 5,200 | 3% | 16% | 72% | 9% | +12.2 | -2.9 | -6.1 | -3.2 |
| East 4 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 8,000 | 5% | 15% | 69% | 11% | -3.9 | +21.4 | -4.0 | -13.5 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 30% | 62% | 4% | +1.6 | +3.2 | -3.2 | -1.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 34% | 57% | 5% | +6.5 | -1.0 | -2.7 | -2.7 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 8,000 | 7% | 35% | 54% | 4% | -12.6 | +28.1 | -11.7 | -3.8 |
| South 2 | Kenji Katsumata ron 1,500 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 1% | 69% | 29% | 2% | -0.1 | +7.2 | -7.1 | 0.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 2,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 0% | 79% | 19% | 2% | +1.5 | +5.1 | -2.5 | -4.1 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 3,900 from Hisato Sasaki | 0% | 84% | 14% | 2% | -8.4 | +10.1 | -2.4 | +0.7 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 0% | 92% | 8% | 1% | +5.5 | -3.1 | +12.6 | -15.0 |
| South 3 | Kenji Katsumata ron 2,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 0% | 87% | 13% | 0% | +1.8 | +9.6 | -8.4 | -2.9 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 99% | 1% | 0% | +1.9 | -1.4 | -1.2 | +0.7 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 99% | 1% | 0% | -1.0 | -0.9 | -0.8 | +2.8 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 6,000 | 0% | 98% | 1% | 0% | -14.1 | -2.3 | -3.5 | +19.9 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 1,500 from Kenji Katsumata | 0% | 99% | 1% | 0% | -1.8 | -3.1 | +0.4 | +4.5 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 98% | 2% | 1% | -2.8 | +0.8 | +2.4 | -0.3 |