Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
1/23 Game 2
Katsumata Kenji finished 1st (+73.4pt). The game was decided in South 1, 2 honba: Katsumata Kenji tsumo 8,000, which moved Katsumata Kenji's expected points by +28.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 26% | 26% | 26% | 23% | -5.8 | +4.5 | -6.5 | +7.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 21% | 29% | 21% | 29% | -4.2 | +4.4 | +1.0 | -1.2 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Draw | 18% | 32% | 23% | 27% | +9.9 | -3.1 | -4.8 | -2.0 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 2,900 from Sasaki Hisato | 26% | 27% | 19% | 27% | -15.5 | -1.8 | +18.3 | -1.0 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 12,000 from Sasaki Hisato | 17% | 27% | 31% | 25% | -30.6 | -0.5 | +32.4 | -1.3 |
| East 3, 5 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 3,900 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 3% | 20% | 58% | 19% | +1.2 | -2.0 | +12.9 | -12.1 |
| East 3, 6 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 5,200 | 3% | 15% | 71% | 11% | +13.5 | -1.9 | -5.8 | -5.8 |
| East 4 | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 8,000 | 5% | 16% | 68% | 10% | -4.7 | +19.9 | -3.9 | -11.3 |
| South 1 | Draw | 4% | 29% | 61% | 5% | +1.9 | +5.9 | -3.3 | -4.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 4% | 35% | 57% | 4% | +5.2 | -2.2 | -1.5 | -1.5 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Katsumata Kenji tsumo 8,000 | 6% | 35% | 55% | 4% | -12.3 | +28.5 | -13.1 | -3.0 |
| South 2 | Katsumata Kenji ron 1,500 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 0% | 69% | 28% | 2% | +1.1 | +6.6 | -7.1 | -0.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 2,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 1% | 79% | 19% | 1% | +0.5 | +4.8 | -1.5 | -3.8 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 3,900 from Sasaki Hisato | 0% | 83% | 16% | 1% | -8.0 | +10.0 | -2.8 | +0.8 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 8,000 from Uchikawa Kotaro | 0% | 92% | 8% | 0% | +5.2 | -3.1 | +12.9 | -15.0 |
| South 3 | Katsumata Kenji ron 2,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 0% | 86% | 14% | 0% | +2.5 | +9.5 | -8.8 | -3.2 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 99% | 1% | 0% | +1.6 | -1.0 | -1.6 | +1.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 99% | 1% | 0% | -1.6 | -0.8 | -0.8 | +3.1 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 6,000 | 0% | 99% | 1% | 0% | -13.6 | -3.0 | -2.9 | +19.5 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 1,500 from Katsumata Kenji | 0% | 98% | 1% | 1% | -1.5 | -2.8 | -0.1 | +4.4 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Draw | 0% | 98% | 1% | 1% | -3.1 | +0.9 | +2.5 | -0.3 |