Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
1/24 Game 2
Yu Suzuki finished 1st (+57.4pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Yu Suzuki tsumo 4,000, which moved Yu Suzuki's expected points by +39.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 5,200 | 26% | 24% | 26% | 24% | -10.1 | +15.2 | -5.6 | +0.5 |
| East 2 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 6,000 | 18% | 34% | 22% | 25% | -5.8 | +19.3 | -5.2 | -8.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Masato Hagiwara ron 3,900 from Sayaka Kayamori | 13% | 50% | 18% | 19% | +0.5 | -4.4 | +14.2 | -10.3 |
| East 3 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 2,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 14% | 47% | 25% | 14% | +0.9 | +3.2 | -7.6 | +3.5 |
| East 4 | Yu Suzuki ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda | 15% | 52% | 19% | 15% | +24.1 | -21.2 | +1.3 | -4.2 |
| South 1 | Masato Hagiwara ron 12,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 32% | 33% | 22% | 13% | -5.0 | -4.3 | +37.6 | -28.3 |
| South 2 | Masato Hagiwara ron 1,000 from Ken Sonoda | 21% | 21% | 55% | 3% | -0.5 | -7.7 | +8.4 | -0.2 |
| South 3 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 3,900 | 18% | 12% | 68% | 2% | -4.7 | -3.8 | +9.8 | -1.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 5,200 | 10% | 6% | 82% | 2% | +19.2 | -9.5 | -7.0 | -2.7 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 22% | 3% | 74% | 2% | -1.7 | +3.2 | -2.4 | +0.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 4,000 | 23% | 5% | 71% | 1% | +39.1 | -4.2 | -28.3 | -6.6 |