Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
1/24 Game 2
Suzuki Yu finished 1st (+57.4pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Suzuki Yu tsumo 4,000, which moved Suzuki Yu's expected points by +40.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 5,200 | 23% | 26% | 24% | 27% | -5.6 | +12.3 | -4.6 | -2.1 |
| East 2 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 6,000 | 20% | 33% | 22% | 26% | -5.4 | +17.1 | -5.0 | -6.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Hagiwara Masato ron 3,900 from Kayamori Sayaka | 16% | 48% | 17% | 19% | -1.8 | -0.9 | +16.0 | -13.3 |
| East 3 | Kayamori Sayaka ron 2,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 14% | 47% | 27% | 12% | +1.1 | +2.4 | -7.6 | +4.1 |
| East 4 | Suzuki Yu ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken | 15% | 51% | 20% | 14% | +24.7 | -20.4 | +0.9 | -5.2 |
| South 1 | Hagiwara Masato ron 12,000 from Kayamori Sayaka | 33% | 31% | 23% | 12% | -6.2 | -5.9 | +37.1 | -24.9 |
| South 2 | Hagiwara Masato ron 1,000 from Sonoda Ken | 20% | 21% | 55% | 3% | -0.6 | -5.2 | +7.3 | -1.4 |
| South 3 | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 3,900 | 16% | 14% | 67% | 3% | -3.8 | -4.7 | +10.4 | -2.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu tsumo 5,200 | 9% | 7% | 81% | 2% | +19.0 | -10.0 | -5.8 | -3.3 |
| South 4 | Draw | 22% | 2% | 76% | 1% | -2.9 | +5.2 | -3.5 | +1.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Suzuki Yu tsumo 4,000 | 21% | 7% | 71% | 1% | +40.3 | -6.2 | -28.0 | -6.1 |