Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
1/26 Game 1
Setokuma Naoki finished 1st (+46.8pt). The game was decided in South 4, 1 honba: Setokuma Naoki tsumo 8,000, which moved Setokuma Naoki's expected points by +80.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Katsumata Kenji 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Katsumata Kenji Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 25% | 25% | 23% | 27% | -4.4 | -1.5 | +2.4 | +3.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 21% | 24% | 26% | 30% | +2.0 | -5.2 | +4.3 | -1.1 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Katsumata Kenji ron 2,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 24% | 19% | 28% | 29% | -11.5 | +0.4 | -1.2 | +12.2 |
| East 4 | Draw | 17% | 19% | 27% | 37% | +7.2 | -2.1 | -2.8 | -2.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Takamiya Mari ron 1,000 from Katsumata Kenji | 21% | 19% | 25% | 35% | -5.0 | -2.4 | +11.4 | -3.9 |
| South 2 | Katsumata Kenji ron 3,900 from Setokuma Naoki | 16% | 18% | 32% | 34% | -14.1 | -4.6 | +1.0 | +17.8 |
| South 3 | Draw | 8% | 11% | 30% | 52% | -8.8 | +9.0 | -3.6 | +3.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 8,000 | 5% | 13% | 24% | 59% | +80.9 | -29.9 | -24.8 | -26.2 |