Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
1/26 Game 2
Kurosawa Saki finished 1st (+69.9pt). The game was decided in East 4: Kurosawa Saki ron 9,600 from Date Arisa, which moved Kurosawa Saki's expected points by +28.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kayamori Sayaka 1st-place chance | Date Arisa 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Kayamori Sayaka Expected pt change | Date Arisa Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kurosawa Saki ron 2,600 from Kayamori Sayaka | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | -8.5 | +0.9 | -0.7 | +8.3 |
| East 2 | Draw | 19% | 25% | 25% | 31% | -6.3 | +2.6 | +2.9 | +0.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Draw | 16% | 27% | 27% | 30% | -4.5 | +4.0 | -3.4 | +3.9 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 2,700 | 14% | 28% | 24% | 34% | +12.9 | -8.9 | -3.2 | -0.8 |
| East 3 | Kayamori Sayaka tsumo 4,000 | 21% | 23% | 23% | 33% | +12.7 | -1.3 | -9.4 | -2.0 |
| East 4 | Kurosawa Saki ron 9,600 from Date Arisa | 29% | 22% | 16% | 33% | -0.8 | -28.5 | +0.6 | +28.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 6% | 14% | 57% | -11.2 | -6.4 | -9.9 | +27.5 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 18,000 | 8% | 2% | 4% | 85% | -9.7 | -8.5 | -6.6 | +24.9 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Draw | 1% | 0% | 0% | 98% | -1.0 | +5.4 | -2.2 | -2.2 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Date Arisa ron 8,000 from Nikaido Aki | 1% | 1% | 1% | 98% | -0.7 | +20.4 | -20.7 | +1.0 |
| South 2 | Nikaido Aki ron 3,900 from Date Arisa | 0% | 1% | 0% | 99% | +2.7 | -9.3 | +5.7 | +0.9 |
| South 3 | Nikaido Aki ron 12,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -6.0 | -8.0 | +26.8 | -12.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 3,000 | 0% | 0% | 1% | 99% | -6.7 | -3.8 | +11.5 | -1.0 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 2% | 98% | -2.3 | -1.9 | +6.2 | -2.1 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 4,800 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 96% | -6.1 | -3.2 | +11.8 | -2.5 |
| South 3, 4 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 6% | 94% | -0.7 | -1.4 | +3.6 | -1.6 |
| South 3, 5 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 0% | 8% | 92% | +0.3 | -2.9 | -5.1 | +7.6 |
| South 4 | Draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -1.5 | +0.3 | -0.9 | +2.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kayamori Sayaka ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +14.7 | -5.0 | +0.9 | -10.5 |