Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
1/27 Game 2
Shingo Hori finished 1st (+64.0pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Shingo Hori tsumo 18,000, which moved Shingo Hori's expected points by +47.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shingo Hori ron 5,800 from Taro Suzuki | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | +11.3 | +0.9 | -12.3 | +0.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 1,500 | 33% | 26% | 18% | 24% | +9.8 | -3.0 | -4.6 | -2.3 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 2,700 | 41% | 23% | 14% | 22% | -7.8 | -1.6 | -2.2 | +11.6 |
| East 2 | Go Kobayashi tsumo 7,800 | 34% | 21% | 14% | 31% | -7.4 | +19.6 | -4.0 | -8.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 2,000 | 28% | 35% | 12% | 25% | +8.9 | -2.3 | -4.4 | -2.2 |
| East 3 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 35% | 32% | 10% | 24% | -10.5 | -12.3 | +32.6 | -9.8 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki | 29% | 24% | 29% | 19% | -0.8 | +26.3 | -27.3 | +1.8 |
| East 4 | Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Shingo Hori | 25% | 46% | 10% | 19% | -25.4 | +1.9 | +30.5 | -7.0 |
| South 1 | Shingo Hori tsumo 12,000 | 11% | 49% | 27% | 14% | +37.4 | -13.8 | -11.9 | -11.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 18,000 | 36% | 34% | 20% | 10% | +47.4 | -18.1 | -17.2 | -12.1 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 2,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 86% | 9% | 4% | 2% | -0.8 | +6.9 | -1.2 | -4.8 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 87% | 9% | 3% | 2% | +5.5 | -7.3 | +2.3 | -0.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,000 from Taro Suzuki | 95% | 1% | 3% | 1% | +1.4 | +3.2 | -9.1 | +4.5 |
| South 4 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000 | 99% | 0% | 0% | 1% | -5.7 | -17.4 | -19.9 | +43.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 94% | 0% | 0% | 6% | +0.2 | -25.0 | +27.8 | -3.0 |