Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
1/27 Game 2
Hori Shingo finished 1st (+64.0pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Hori Shingo tsumo 18,000, which moved Hori Shingo's expected points by +48.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Hori Shingo ron 5,800 from Suzuki Taro | 27% | 24% | 25% | 24% | +14.5 | -1.3 | -15.5 | +2.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 1,500 | 36% | 23% | 16% | 25% | +4.2 | -2.6 | +0.6 | -2.2 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 2,700 | 39% | 20% | 17% | 24% | -6.9 | +1.7 | -4.5 | +9.6 |
| East 2 | Kobayashi Go tsumo 7,800 | 32% | 23% | 14% | 30% | -6.0 | +18.2 | -6.1 | -6.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 2,000 | 27% | 36% | 11% | 25% | +8.2 | -4.0 | -2.4 | -1.8 |
| East 3 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 12,000 | 34% | 31% | 11% | 24% | -10.4 | -9.4 | +31.1 | -11.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 8,000 from Suzuki Taro | 28% | 26% | 26% | 20% | +1.0 | +23.2 | -25.2 | +1.1 |
| East 4 | Suzuki Taro ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo | 26% | 45% | 11% | 18% | -25.4 | +4.1 | +30.4 | -9.1 |
| South 1 | Hori Shingo tsumo 12,000 | 12% | 49% | 28% | 12% | +34.8 | -11.6 | -12.7 | -10.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Hori Shingo tsumo 18,000 | 34% | 37% | 20% | 8% | +48.3 | -20.8 | -18.2 | -9.2 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 2,000 from Ooi Takaharu | 86% | 8% | 3% | 3% | -1.0 | +6.2 | +0.8 | -6.0 |
| South 2 | Draw | 86% | 8% | 4% | 1% | +5.3 | -7.0 | +1.9 | -0.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,000 from Suzuki Taro | 94% | 2% | 3% | 1% | +1.8 | +3.0 | -10.1 | +5.2 |
| South 4 | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 12,000 | 98% | 0% | 0% | 2% | -5.4 | -17.4 | -19.0 | +41.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000 | 94% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 0.0 | -24.7 | +27.7 | -3.1 |