Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
1/30 Game 1
Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+60.1pt). The game was decided in South 2, 2 honba: Ken Sonoda tsumo 18,000, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +47.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Go Kobayashi 1st-place chance | Yuumi Uotani 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Go Kobayashi Expected pt change | Yuumi Uotani Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda | 25% | 25% | 23% | 27% | -3.5 | -19.7 | +0.7 | +22.5 |
| East 2 | Ken Sonoda ron 7,700 from Go Kobayashi | 22% | 14% | 23% | 42% | -0.1 | +18.3 | -17.7 | -0.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 1,500 from Kazunori Takizawa | 20% | 22% | 14% | 43% | -4.7 | +5.1 | +0.5 | -0.9 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 19% | 26% | 15% | 41% | -0.8 | +3.2 | +0.9 | -3.3 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Go Kobayashi ron 3,900 from Yuumi Uotani | 18% | 29% | 15% | 38% | -2.3 | +0.3 | +14.1 | -12.1 |
| East 3 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 2,000 | 17% | 30% | 23% | 30% | +0.3 | +6.8 | -4.8 | -2.4 |
| East 4 | Go Kobayashi ron 2,000 from Ken Sonoda | 18% | 35% | 19% | 29% | -6.7 | -2.5 | +9.2 | 0.0 |
| South 1 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 3,900 from Go Kobayashi | 14% | 33% | 24% | 29% | +19.2 | -1.7 | -17.5 | 0.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 27% | 32% | 14% | 27% | -8.6 | +7.4 | +6.1 | -4.9 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 18,000 | 19% | 39% | 18% | 25% | -15.7 | +47.7 | -16.3 | -15.7 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Yuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 1% | 90% | 4% | 5% | -23.4 | -0.1 | +0.6 | +23.0 |
| South 3 | Yuumi Uotani ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda | 0% | 91% | 2% | 7% | -2.2 | -12.8 | -3.2 | +18.2 |
| South 4 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 78% | 0% | 22% | +0.1 | +8.2 | +3.5 | -11.9 |