Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
1/30 Game 1
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+60.1pt). The game was decided in South 2, 2 honba: Sonoda Ken tsumo 18,000, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +50.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Kobayashi Go 1st-place chance | Uotani Yuumi 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Kobayashi Go Expected pt change | Uotani Yuumi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Uotani Yuumi ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken | 25% | 23% | 25% | 27% | -3.2 | -16.7 | -0.5 | +20.5 |
| East 2 | Sonoda Ken ron 7,700 from Kobayashi Go | 21% | 14% | 23% | 42% | -0.4 | +17.2 | -15.8 | -1.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sonoda Ken ron 1,500 from Takizawa Kazunori | 21% | 24% | 14% | 41% | -3.8 | +5.4 | -2.8 | +1.3 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Draw | 19% | 25% | 13% | 43% | -1.5 | +5.2 | +1.1 | -4.8 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Kobayashi Go ron 3,900 from Uotani Yuumi | 18% | 30% | 15% | 38% | +1.8 | -4.0 | +13.6 | -11.3 |
| East 3 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 2,000 | 21% | 27% | 22% | 31% | -2.3 | +7.5 | -4.4 | -0.7 |
| East 4 | Kobayashi Go ron 2,000 from Sonoda Ken | 19% | 34% | 18% | 30% | -4.7 | -4.6 | +10.7 | -1.4 |
| South 1 | Takizawa Kazunori ron 3,900 from Kobayashi Go | 16% | 30% | 26% | 29% | +14.2 | +2.2 | -15.5 | -0.9 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 24% | 32% | 15% | 28% | -6.1 | +4.7 | +4.1 | -2.6 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Sonoda Ken tsumo 18,000 | 18% | 36% | 19% | 26% | -14.8 | +50.9 | -18.9 | -17.2 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Uotani Yuumi ron 8,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 1% | 92% | 3% | 4% | -23.5 | -2.3 | +2.9 | +22.9 |
| South 3 | Uotani Yuumi ron 8,000 from Sonoda Ken | 0% | 89% | 3% | 8% | -2.5 | -11.5 | -4.0 | +18.0 |
| South 4 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 4,000 | 0% | 78% | 0% | 22% | -0.2 | +8.1 | +3.8 | -11.7 |