Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
1/30 Game 2
Sasaki Hisato finished 1st (+61.5pt). The game was decided in South 2: Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Tojyo Rio, which moved Sasaki Hisato's expected points by +33.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Suzuki Yu 1st-place chance | Tojyo Rio 1st-place chance | Murakami Jun 1st-place chance | Sasaki Hisato 1st-place chance | Suzuki Yu Expected pt change | Tojyo Rio Expected pt change | Murakami Jun Expected pt change | Sasaki Hisato Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Tojyo Rio ron 12,000 from Murakami Jun | 26% | 24% | 24% | 25% | -1.9 | +32.4 | -30.9 | +0.4 |
| East 2 | Sasaki Hisato ron 2,000 from Suzuki Yu | 20% | 49% | 9% | 23% | -5.3 | +1.2 | -0.2 | +4.3 |
| East 3 | Tojyo Rio tsumo 12,000 | 16% | 51% | 9% | 24% | -6.6 | +27.0 | -13.6 | -6.7 |
| East 4 | Draw | 7% | 78% | 2% | 13% | -2.8 | -2.0 | +2.1 | +2.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 3,000 | 7% | 77% | 2% | 14% | -6.5 | -3.3 | -3.2 | +13.0 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Draw | 5% | 72% | 2% | 21% | -2.6 | +2.2 | +3.7 | -3.3 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Draw | 4% | 76% | 3% | 17% | +4.3 | -1.9 | +1.8 | -4.3 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Suzuki Yu ron 1,500 from Sasaki Hisato | 6% | 76% | 3% | 15% | +10.6 | -0.5 | -1.7 | -8.4 |
| South 1, 5 honba | Sasaki Hisato tsumo 6,400 | 9% | 77% | 2% | 12% | -13.1 | -3.8 | -3.5 | +20.4 |
| South 2 | Sasaki Hisato ron 8,000 from Tojyo Rio | 3% | 71% | 2% | 24% | -0.3 | -31.6 | -1.7 | +33.6 |
| South 3 | Tojyo Rio ron 2,000 from Suzuki Yu | 2% | 21% | 2% | 76% | -2.6 | +2.7 | -4.0 | +4.0 |
| South 4 | Suzuki Yu ron 1,000 from Murakami Jun | 0% | 16% | 0% | 84% | +2.9 | -5.7 | -2.6 | +5.3 |