Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
1/30 Game 2
Hisato Sasaki finished 1st (+61.5pt). The game was decided in South 2: Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Rio Tojyo, which moved Hisato Sasaki's expected points by +32.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Jun Murakami 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change | Jun Murakami Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Rio Tojyo ron 12,000 from Jun Murakami | 24% | 25% | 26% | 25% | -2.1 | +34.1 | -31.6 | -0.4 |
| East 2 | Hisato Sasaki ron 2,000 from Yu Suzuki | 19% | 52% | 8% | 21% | -4.7 | -1.0 | -0.2 | +5.9 |
| East 3 | Rio Tojyo tsumo 12,000 | 15% | 52% | 9% | 24% | -5.9 | +27.4 | -13.5 | -8.1 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 6% | 80% | 2% | 12% | -1.7 | -3.1 | +1.8 | +3.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 3,000 | 7% | 77% | 3% | 13% | -7.0 | -3.8 | -3.1 | +13.9 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 6% | 70% | 2% | 22% | -2.8 | +2.4 | +4.1 | -3.7 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 77% | 2% | 17% | +4.7 | -3.2 | +0.8 | -2.3 |
| South 1, 4 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 1,500 from Hisato Sasaki | 7% | 73% | 3% | 17% | +10.3 | +0.5 | -0.5 | -10.4 |
| South 1, 5 honba | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 6,400 | 9% | 76% | 3% | 13% | -13.0 | -4.8 | -4.1 | +22.0 |
| South 2 | Hisato Sasaki ron 8,000 from Rio Tojyo | 3% | 69% | 2% | 26% | -0.4 | -30.3 | -1.8 | +32.5 |
| South 3 | Rio Tojyo ron 2,000 from Yu Suzuki | 2% | 21% | 1% | 76% | -2.0 | +2.3 | -4.3 | +4.0 |
| South 4 | Yu Suzuki ron 1,000 from Jun Murakami | 0% | 16% | 0% | 84% | +2.4 | -5.2 | -2.1 | +4.9 |