Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
1/31 Game 1
Honda Tomohiro finished 1st (+51.5pt). The game was decided in South 4: Honda Tomohiro tsumo 2,700, which moved Honda Tomohiro's expected points by +39.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Honda Tomohiro 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Hinata Aiko 1st-place chance | Matsugase Takaya 1st-place chance | Honda Tomohiro Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Hinata Aiko Expected pt change | Matsugase Takaya Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Draw | 23% | 25% | 27% | 24% | -2.1 | +5.1 | -1.5 | -1.5 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Matsugase Takaya ron 1,000 from Honda Tomohiro | 22% | 29% | 25% | 24% | -3.6 | -4.3 | +0.4 | +7.6 |
| East 3 | Draw | 20% | 26% | 25% | 29% | +7.2 | -0.9 | -3.8 | -2.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 4,000 | 25% | 25% | 23% | 27% | +16.3 | -3.7 | -2.8 | -9.8 |
| South 1 | Matsugase Takaya ron 2,600 from Hinata Aiko | 38% | 22% | 21% | 20% | +0.4 | +0.1 | -9.5 | +9.0 |
| South 2 | Matsugase Takaya tsumo 2,700 | 38% | 22% | 16% | 25% | 0.0 | -11.5 | -5.3 | +16.8 |
| South 3 | Hori Shingo ron 8,000 from Hinata Aiko | 36% | 13% | 13% | 39% | -4.0 | +42.6 | -28.1 | -10.5 |
| South 4 | Honda Tomohiro tsumo 2,700 | 26% | 52% | 0% | 22% | +39.4 | -17.8 | -1.1 | -20.6 |