Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
1/31 Game 2
Shiratori Sho finished 1st (+67.2pt). The game was decided in East 2, 3 honba: Shiratori Sho tsumo 12,000, which moved Shiratori Sho's expected points by +39.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Shiratori Sho 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Kurosawa Saki 1st-place chance | Shibukawa Namba 1st-place chance | Shiratori Sho Expected pt change | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Kurosawa Saki Expected pt change | Shibukawa Namba Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shiratori Sho tsumo 3,000 | 25% | 24% | 26% | 26% | +11.1 | -0.4 | -3.3 | -7.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Draw | 32% | 24% | 23% | 21% | +2.8 | +2.5 | +1.0 | -6.3 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Shiratori Sho ron 5,800 from Kurosawa Saki | 35% | 26% | 23% | 17% | +19.4 | -2.7 | -17.0 | +0.2 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Kurosawa Saki tsumo 8,000 | 51% | 20% | 13% | 16% | -10.1 | -8.0 | +25.1 | -6.9 |
| East 2 | Nikaido Aki ron 4,800 from Kurosawa Saki | 42% | 17% | 28% | 14% | -0.3 | +13.5 | -13.1 | -0.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 1,500 | 42% | 25% | 20% | 14% | -1.2 | +3.9 | -1.7 | -1.0 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Draw | 41% | 28% | 17% | 14% | +0.6 | +4.0 | -4.9 | +0.3 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Shiratori Sho tsumo 12,000 | 39% | 32% | 16% | 13% | +39.9 | -21.1 | -8.1 | -10.7 |
| East 3 | Shibukawa Namba tsumo 8,000 | 80% | 8% | 7% | 5% | -2.6 | -5.5 | -12.0 | +20.1 |
| East 4 | Nikaido Aki tsumo 1,100 | 79% | 7% | 4% | 10% | +2.4 | +4.7 | -2.2 | -4.9 |
| South 1 | Draw | 85% | 6% | 2% | 6% | +1.9 | -4.7 | -1.7 | +4.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kurosawa Saki ron 2,600 from Nikaido Aki | 86% | 5% | 3% | 6% | +1.0 | -7.2 | +4.5 | +1.7 |
| South 2 | Nikaido Aki ron 2,900 from Shiratori Sho | 90% | 3% | 2% | 5% | -4.7 | +7.1 | -0.5 | -1.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Draw | 86% | 5% | 3% | 6% | +5.3 | -6.6 | -5.0 | +6.2 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Draw | 93% | 1% | 2% | 5% | -1.4 | -2.2 | +5.5 | -1.9 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Nikaido Aki ron 8,000 from Kurosawa Saki | 92% | 0% | 3% | 5% | +0.8 | +27.9 | -23.4 | -5.3 |
| South 4 | Nikaido Aki ron 1,600 from Shibukawa Namba | 95% | 1% | 0% | 4% | +2.5 | +7.1 | -0.1 | -9.5 |