Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
2/2 Game 1
Kondo Seiichi finished 1st (+64.8pt). The game was decided in South 3: Kondo Seiichi tsumo 12,000, which moved Kondo Seiichi's expected points by +33.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Nikaido Aki 1st-place chance | Mizuhara Akina 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Setokuma Naoki 1st-place chance | Nikaido Aki Expected pt change | Mizuhara Akina Expected pt change | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Setokuma Naoki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Mizuhara Akina ron 8,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 26% | 25% | 23% | 26% | -2.4 | +24.3 | -0.6 | -21.2 |
| East 2 | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 8,000 | 22% | 44% | 21% | 13% | -5.9 | -13.6 | +25.8 | -6.3 |
| East 3 | Draw | 18% | 30% | 41% | 11% | +4.9 | -2.1 | -4.7 | +2.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Setokuma Naoki tsumo 12,000 | 22% | 29% | 37% | 12% | -13.1 | -11.7 | -11.1 | +36.0 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Draw | 16% | 22% | 28% | 34% | -7.6 | +4.1 | +0.7 | +2.8 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Nikaido Aki tsumo 4,000 | 12% | 24% | 28% | 36% | +13.3 | -4.4 | -1.9 | -7.0 |
| South 1 | Draw | 19% | 22% | 29% | 31% | +1.8 | +4.9 | -3.4 | -3.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Draw | 20% | 25% | 27% | 28% | -7.3 | +5.0 | +5.3 | -3.0 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Kondo Seiichi ron 2,000 from Nikaido Aki | 15% | 29% | 29% | 27% | -12.8 | -5.5 | +21.2 | -3.0 |
| South 3 | Kondo Seiichi tsumo 12,000 | 7% | 19% | 52% | 22% | -8.6 | -14.7 | +33.3 | -10.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Draw | 0% | 2% | 92% | 6% | +1.3 | -6.3 | -2.0 | +7.0 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Kondo Seiichi ron 1,000 from Setokuma Naoki | 0% | 0% | 93% | 6% | -9.2 | -0.2 | +4.9 | +4.5 |