Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
2/2 Game 2
Nikaido Rumi finished 1st (+93.8pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Nikaido Rumi ron 16,000 from Kondo Seiichi, which moved Nikaido Rumi's expected points by +44.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kondo Seiichi 1st-place chance | Hagiwara Masato 1st-place chance | Nikaido Rumi 1st-place chance | Nakabayashi Kei 1st-place chance | Kondo Seiichi Expected pt change | Hagiwara Masato Expected pt change | Nikaido Rumi Expected pt change | Nakabayashi Kei Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kondo Seiichi ron 3,900 from Nikaido Rumi | 24% | 23% | 27% | 26% | +13.9 | -1.9 | -10.9 | -1.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Nikaido Rumi ron 16,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 34% | 22% | 19% | 24% | -44.3 | -1.0 | +44.3 | +1.0 |
| East 2 | Draw | 8% | 18% | 53% | 21% | -3.9 | +3.1 | -4.9 | +5.7 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Nikaido Rumi ron 3,900 from Nakabayashi Kei | 7% | 21% | 46% | 26% | +1.4 | -3.7 | +14.6 | -12.2 |
| East 3 | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 12,000 | 6% | 15% | 63% | 16% | -7.3 | -8.5 | +24.2 | -8.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Nikaido Rumi tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 5% | 86% | 7% | -3.8 | -5.8 | +15.9 | -6.3 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Draw | 1% | 2% | 95% | 2% | -2.8 | +3.4 | +0.5 | -1.1 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Nikaido Rumi ron 12,000 from Kondo Seiichi | 1% | 2% | 95% | 2% | -20.7 | +0.3 | +17.5 | +2.9 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Draw | 0% | 0% | 99% | 1% | -0.1 | +0.4 | +2.0 | -2.3 |
| East 3, 5 honba | Draw | 0% | 1% | 99% | 1% | -1.9 | +0.9 | +1.6 | -0.7 |
| East 3, 6 honba | Hagiwara Masato tsumo 1,100 | 0% | 1% | 99% | 1% | -2.9 | +11.3 | -3.3 | -5.1 |
| East 4 | Kondo Seiichi ron 2,000 from Nakabayashi Kei | 0% | 1% | 99% | 1% | +2.7 | +1.5 | +1.4 | -5.6 |
| South 1 | Hagiwara Masato ron 5,200 from Nikaido Rumi | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -3.1 | +9.5 | -5.4 | -1.1 |
| South 2 | Nakabayashi Kei ron 3,900 from Kondo Seiichi | 0% | 1% | 99% | 0% | -4.8 | -1.3 | +0.3 | +5.8 |
| South 3 | Nakabayashi Kei ron 5,200 from Nikaido Rumi | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | +0.1 | +0.2 | -7.0 | +6.7 |
| South 4 | Nikaido Rumi ron 1,000 from Hagiwara Masato | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | +0.1 | +1.7 | +1.4 | -3.2 |