Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
2/2 Game 2
Rumi Nikaido finished 1st (+93.8pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Rumi Nikaido ron 16,000 from Seiichi Kondo, which moved Rumi Nikaido's expected points by +45.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Seiichi Kondo 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Rumi Nikaido 1st-place chance | Kei Nakabayashi 1st-place chance | Seiichi Kondo Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Rumi Nikaido Expected pt change | Kei Nakabayashi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Seiichi Kondo ron 3,900 from Rumi Nikaido | 25% | 24% | 25% | 26% | +13.8 | -2.0 | -11.6 | -0.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Rumi Nikaido ron 16,000 from Seiichi Kondo | 34% | 23% | 18% | 24% | -45.0 | -1.5 | +45.7 | +0.9 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 7% | 18% | 53% | 22% | -3.2 | +4.3 | -5.5 | +4.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Rumi Nikaido ron 3,900 from Kei Nakabayashi | 7% | 22% | 46% | 25% | +1.1 | -4.8 | +16.2 | -12.4 |
| East 3 | Rumi Nikaido tsumo 12,000 | 6% | 15% | 63% | 16% | -7.2 | -7.5 | +23.3 | -8.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Rumi Nikaido tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 6% | 86% | 6% | -4.0 | -6.8 | +15.4 | -4.6 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 2% | 95% | 2% | -2.1 | +2.1 | +1.4 | -1.5 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Rumi Nikaido ron 12,000 from Seiichi Kondo | 1% | 2% | 95% | 2% | -21.7 | +2.6 | +16.7 | +2.4 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 1% | 99% | 1% | +0.1 | -0.1 | +2.2 | -2.1 |
| East 3, 5 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 99% | 0% | -2.1 | +0.2 | +3.4 | -1.5 |
| East 3, 6 honba | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 1,100 | 0% | 0% | 99% | 1% | -2.3 | +11.2 | -5.0 | -3.8 |
| East 4 | Seiichi Kondo ron 2,000 from Kei Nakabayashi | 0% | 1% | 99% | 1% | +2.7 | +2.3 | +1.3 | -6.3 |
| South 1 | Masato Hagiwara ron 5,200 from Rumi Nikaido | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -2.9 | +8.5 | -5.0 | -0.5 |
| South 2 | Kei Nakabayashi ron 3,900 from Seiichi Kondo | 0% | 1% | 99% | 0% | -4.6 | -0.7 | +0.1 | +5.3 |
| South 3 | Kei Nakabayashi ron 5,200 from Rumi Nikaido | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0.0 | +0.3 | -7.2 | +6.9 |
| South 4 | Rumi Nikaido ron 1,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0.0 | +1.3 | +1.9 | -3.2 |