Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
2/3 Game 1
Yoshihiro Matsumoto finished 1st (+51.1pt). The game was decided in South 4: Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 16,000, which moved Yoshihiro Matsumoto's expected points by +94.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 5,200 from Kazunori Takizawa | 26% | 25% | 25% | 23% | -2.1 | +18.0 | -15.6 | -0.3 |
| East 2 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 37% | 16% | 24% | -6.2 | -14.2 | +20.7 | -0.3 |
| East 3 | Kazunori Takizawa tsumo 3,000 | 21% | 26% | 27% | 25% | -1.4 | -4.2 | +13.1 | -7.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 1,000 from Kazunori Takizawa | 20% | 22% | 38% | 20% | -0.8 | +0.4 | -6.9 | +7.2 |
| East 4 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 5,200 | 18% | 24% | 32% | 25% | +20.1 | -6.8 | -1.1 | -12.1 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 33% | 21% | 31% | 16% | -7.7 | +4.2 | +7.6 | -4.1 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Kotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 26% | 22% | 38% | 15% | +34.4 | -30.9 | -3.5 | 0.0 |
| South 3 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 8,000 | 63% | 3% | 25% | 10% | +2.5 | -10.0 | -16.9 | +24.4 |
| South 4 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 16,000 | 73% | 0% | 9% | 18% | -31.5 | +94.9 | -14.8 | -48.6 |