Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
2/3 Game 1
Matsumoto Yoshihiro finished 1st (+51.1pt). The game was decided in South 4: Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 16,000, which moved Matsumoto Yoshihiro's expected points by +94.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Uchikawa Kotaro 1st-place chance | Matsumoto Yoshihiro 1st-place chance | Takizawa Kazunori 1st-place chance | Suzuki Taro 1st-place chance | Uchikawa Kotaro Expected pt change | Matsumoto Yoshihiro Expected pt change | Takizawa Kazunori Expected pt change | Suzuki Taro Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro ron 5,200 from Takizawa Kazunori | 25% | 25% | 26% | 24% | -1.3 | +16.2 | -16.4 | +1.5 |
| East 2 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 8,000 | 23% | 37% | 14% | 26% | -6.4 | -12.9 | +22.3 | -3.0 |
| East 3 | Takizawa Kazunori tsumo 3,000 | 20% | 27% | 30% | 24% | -1.5 | -6.9 | +10.7 | -2.3 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Suzuki Taro ron 1,000 from Takizawa Kazunori | 18% | 22% | 37% | 23% | -0.3 | +1.9 | -2.3 | +0.8 |
| East 4 | Uchikawa Kotaro tsumo 5,200 | 18% | 24% | 36% | 22% | +18.9 | -5.2 | -3.5 | -10.2 |
| South 1 | Draw | 30% | 21% | 33% | 16% | -5.9 | +3.1 | +6.4 | -3.6 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Uchikawa Kotaro ron 8,000 from Matsumoto Yoshihiro | 25% | 21% | 38% | 15% | +35.0 | -29.9 | -3.7 | -1.4 |
| South 3 | Suzuki Taro tsumo 8,000 | 65% | 2% | 24% | 9% | +0.9 | -10.6 | -16.8 | +26.5 |
| South 4 | Matsumoto Yoshihiro tsumo 16,000 | 71% | 0% | 8% | 20% | -30.9 | +94.9 | -14.8 | -49.1 |