Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
2/3 Game 2
Sonoda Ken finished 1st (+57.5pt). The game was decided in South 4: Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo, which moved Sonoda Ken's expected points by +42.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sonoda Ken 1st-place chance | Takamiya Mari 1st-place chance | Hori Shingo 1st-place chance | Ooi Takaharu 1st-place chance | Sonoda Ken Expected pt change | Takamiya Mari Expected pt change | Hori Shingo Expected pt change | Ooi Takaharu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Takamiya Mari ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo | 25% | 26% | 24% | 25% | -2.9 | +22.4 | -19.1 | -0.4 |
| East 2 | Hori Shingo ron 12,000 from Sonoda Ken | 20% | 42% | 14% | 24% | -27.6 | -2.0 | +27.5 | +2.1 |
| East 3 | Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo | 9% | 38% | 27% | 26% | +19.5 | +4.1 | -23.3 | -0.4 |
| East 4 | Ooi Takaharu ron 2,000 from Sonoda Ken | 17% | 45% | 14% | 25% | -5.8 | -0.3 | +0.9 | +5.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Ooi Takaharu tsumo 6,000 | 14% | 44% | 14% | 28% | -5.5 | -9.0 | -7.2 | +21.7 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Draw | 10% | 33% | 9% | 48% | -2.8 | +8.6 | -0.8 | -5.0 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Takamiya Mari tsumo 4,000 | 9% | 41% | 9% | 41% | -9.0 | +19.2 | -5.9 | -4.4 |
| South 2 | Sonoda Ken tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 64% | 6% | 29% | +32.3 | -14.6 | -10.8 | -6.9 |
| South 3 | Sonoda Ken ron 3,900 from Ooi Takaharu | 18% | 49% | 5% | 29% | +16.1 | +7.9 | -7.3 | -16.7 |
| South 4 | Sonoda Ken ron 8,000 from Hori Shingo | 23% | 63% | 0% | 14% | +42.9 | -23.1 | -8.7 | -11.1 |