Game · 2022-23 Regular Season
2/3 Game 2
Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+57.5pt). The game was decided in South 4: Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Shingo Hori, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +43.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Mari Takamiya ron 8,000 from Shingo Hori | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -3.9 | +25.6 | -22.8 | +1.1 |
| East 2 | Shingo Hori ron 12,000 from Ken Sonoda | 19% | 45% | 12% | 24% | -26.8 | -3.7 | +31.0 | -0.5 |
| East 3 | Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Shingo Hori | 8% | 39% | 29% | 23% | +19.5 | +3.8 | -24.4 | +1.2 |
| East 4 | Takaharu Ooi ron 2,000 from Ken Sonoda | 16% | 46% | 13% | 25% | -4.1 | -1.9 | +1.0 | +5.0 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 6,000 | 15% | 43% | 13% | 28% | -8.0 | -8.6 | -6.1 | +22.6 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 10% | 32% | 10% | 48% | -1.6 | +8.6 | -1.7 | -5.3 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Mari Takamiya tsumo 4,000 | 9% | 40% | 9% | 41% | -8.6 | +19.2 | -6.4 | -4.2 |
| South 2 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 12,000 | 2% | 63% | 6% | 30% | +31.5 | -13.0 | -10.2 | -8.3 |
| South 3 | Ken Sonoda ron 3,900 from Takaharu Ooi | 16% | 51% | 5% | 27% | +15.9 | +7.9 | -8.2 | -15.6 |
| South 4 | Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Shingo Hori | 22% | 64% | 0% | 14% | +43.5 | -23.9 | -8.1 | -11.5 |